Taipower v Tatung prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TaipowerDrawTatung

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 07:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Taipower 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Taipower are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Taipower 41%, draw 26%, Tatung 33%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Taipower v TatungBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Taipower win41%

Draw26%

Tatung win33%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 07:30

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Taipower

Tatung

14Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

Last match: 18 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	4	+1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taipower winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Taipower a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Taipower v Tatung~~1.32 – 1.15

~~Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D0 L1 · W1 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taipower win	41%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Tatung win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Taipower or draw	67%	–	–
Taipower clean sheet	32%	–	–
Tatung clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 8.3 10.5 5.6 2.2 1 11.9 11.9 7.2 2.8 2 7.4 8.2 4.7 3 3.3 3.7 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taipower down, Tatung across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 470 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.40 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Taipower at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Tatung away: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Taipower, 1.15 for Tatung. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.40

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TAT 1–1 TAI · TAT 1–0 TAI · TAI 1–2 TAT · TAT 0–0 TAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TAIPOWER

WWL1–0 · 3–1 · 0–1

TATUNG

WDDD1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	4	+5	8
2	AC Taipei	4	+2	7
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	4	+1	6
5	Taichung Futuro	4	−2	4
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0