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Taipower v Taichung Futuro

Taipower

0–1Full time

Taichung Futuro

Taiwan Football Premier League · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 11:02

Taipower 0–1 Taichung Futuro TAICHUNG FUTURO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Taichung Futuro win~~41%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.530

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.503

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Taichung Futuro win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Taichung Futuro 41% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
1′KICK-OFF Taipower v Taichung Futuro
4′Little has changed for our model: Taichung Futuro 41% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 34–27–39
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
45′HALF-TIME Taipower 0–0 Taichung Futuro
46′SECOND HALF Taipower 0–0 Taichung Futuro
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Taichung Futuro win 32%)
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Taipower 0–1 Taichung Futuro
FTFULL TIME Taipower 0–1 Taichung Futuro
FTTaipower 0–1 Taichung Futuro · Taichung Futuro win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Taipower win35%

Draw24%

Taichung Futuro win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 08:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Taipower

Taichung Futuro

21Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Taipower	2	+3	6
7	Taichung Futuro	2	−3	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taichung futuro winPublished 11 Oct 08:34

41% The market42%

Us41%

~~Market~~42%

We make Taichung Futuro a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · taichung futuro win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taipower win	35%	30%	+5
Draw	24%	28%	−4
Taichung Futuro win	41%	42%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	48%	46%	+2
Both teams to score	51%	52%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	72%	71%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	27%	26%	0
Taipower or draw	59%	58%	+1
Taipower clean sheet	26%	–	–
Taichung Futuro clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.6 11.2 6.9 3.2 1 10.3 11.1 8.2 3.8 2 5.7 7.5 5.1 2.4 3 2.4 3.2 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taipower down, Taichung Futuro across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 464 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 2.35 goals a meeting; 8 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Taipower at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Taichung Futuro away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Taipower, 1.37 for Taichung Futuro. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~2.35

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 17

~~Both scored~~10 of 17

~~Last meetings~~TAI 1–2 TAI · TAI 1–2 TAI · TAI 1–1 TAI · TAI 1–2 TAI

Form · last six in Taiwan Football Premier League

TAIPOWER

LLWDWW0–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

TAICHUNG FUTURO

WWWLLL4–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	2	+5	6
2	Taipower	2	+3	6
3	Tatung	2	+1	4
4	AC Taipei	2	+1	3
5	Hang Yuen	2	0	2
6	Tainan City	2	−2	1
7	Taichung Futuro	2	−3	0
8	Taichung Rock FC	2	−5	0