Tainan City v Taichung Rock FC prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Tainan City are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tainan City 67%, draw 17%, Taichung Rock FC 16%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Tainan City v Taichung Rock FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Tainan City win67%

Draw17%

Taichung Rock FC win16%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tainan City

Taichung Rock FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tainan city winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Tainan City a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tainan City v Taichung Rock FC~~2.36 – 1.02

~~Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D2 L1 · W0 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 0~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tainan City win	67%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Taichung Rock FC win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Tainan City or draw	84%	–	–
Tainan City clean sheet	37%	–	–
Taichung Rock FC clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.4%

0123450 3.1 4.3 1 8.9 7.6 4.2 2 9.4 9.3 4.7 3 7.3 7.2 3.6 4 4.4 4.3 2.2 5 2.2 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Tainan City down, Taichung Rock FC across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 468 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tainan City at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Taichung Rock FC away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.36 goals for Tainan City, 1.02 for Taichung Rock FC. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~Taichung Rock FC 2–4 Tainan City · Taichung Rock FC 0–0 Tainan City · Tainan City 3–3 Taichung Rock FC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TAINAN CITY

DLD1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0

TAICHUNG ROCK FC

LLL2–5 · 1–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	3	+5	7
2	AC Taipei	3	+2	6
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	3	+1	5
5	Hang Yuen	3	0	3
6	Taichung Futuro	3	−2	3
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0