Taichung Futuro v AC Taipei prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 11:34

Taichung Futuro 1–1 AC Taipei TAICHUNG FUTURO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Taichung Futuro win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.832

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Taichung Futuro win at 44%.
1′Much as we predicted: Taichung Futuro was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–31
1′KICK-OFF Taichung Futuro v AC Taipei
35′Taichung Futuro find the net on 35′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–7
35′We published Taichung Futuro at 44%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Taichung Futuro 1–0 AC Taipei
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 73% now
36′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–19–7
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
42′We published Taichung Futuro at 44%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
45′HALF-TIME Taichung Futuro 1–0 AC Taipei
46′SECOND HALF Taichung Futuro 1–0 AC Taipei
60′We published Taichung Futuro at 44%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
61′A goal for AC Taipei on 60′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 26–54–20
61′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–54–20
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Taichung Futuro 1–1 AC Taipei
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 26% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Taichung Futuro win 26%)
65′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
72′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–15
78′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
83′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
90′We said Taichung Futuro at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Taichung Futuro win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
FTFULL TIME Taichung Futuro 1–1 AC Taipei
FTTaichung Futuro 1–1 AC Taipei · Taichung Futuro win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Taichung Futuro are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Taichung Futuro 44%, draw 26%, AC Taipei 31%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Taichung Futuro v AC TaipeiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Taichung Futuro win44%

Draw26%

AC Taipei win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Taichung Futuro

AC Taipei

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	AC Taipei	3	+2	6
6	Taichung Futuro	3	−2	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taichung futuro winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Taichung Futuro a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Taichung Futuro v AC Taipei~~1.31 – 1.04

~~Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 6~~6 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taichung Futuro win	44%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
AC Taipei win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Taichung Futuro or draw	69%	–	–
Taichung Futuro clean sheet	36%	–	–
AC Taipei clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 9.1 10.9 5.2 1 13.4 11.8 6.6 2.3 2 8.1 8.2 4.3 3 3.6 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taichung Futuro down, AC Taipei across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 468 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Taichung Futuro at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). AC Taipei away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Taichung Futuro, 1.04 for AC Taipei. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TAI 1–2 ACT · TAI 0–1 ACT · ACT 2–1 TAI · TAI 0–1 ACT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TAICHUNG FUTURO

LLW0–1 · 0–2 · 1–0

AC TAIPEI

LWW0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	3	+5	7
2	AC Taipei	3	+2	6
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	3	+1	5
5	Hang Yuen	3	0	3
6	Taichung Futuro	3	−2	3
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0