Kaohsiung v Tainan City prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KaohsiungDrawTainan City

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tainan City 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tainan City are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kaohsiung 29%, draw 21%, Tainan City 50%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Kaohsiung v Tainan CityBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kaohsiung win29%

Draw21%

Tainan City win50%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kaohsiung

Tainan City

7Days since last match1

Last match: 18 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

Last match: 24 Oct · AFC Challenge League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tainan city winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Tainan City a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kaohsiung v Tainan City~~1.35 – 1.90

~~Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D2 L0 · W0 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 2~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kaohsiung win	29%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Tainan City win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Kaohsiung or draw	50%	–	–
Kaohsiung clean sheet	16%	–	–
Tainan City clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.9 8.1 6.9 4.4 2.2 1 6.1 9.3 8.8 5.5 2.7 2 3.8 6.5 5.8 3.6 3 3.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kaohsiung down, Tainan City across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 470 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kaohsiung at home: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Tainan City away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Kaohsiung, 1.90 for Tainan City. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

KAOHSIUNG

WWDD5–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

TAINAN CITY

DLD1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	4	+5	8
2	AC Taipei	4	+2	7
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	4	+1	6
5	Taichung Futuro	4	−2	4
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0