AC Taipei v Taichung Rock FC prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 11:42

AC Taipei 2–1 Taichung Rock FC AC TAIPEI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said AC Taipei win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said AC Taipei win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: AC Taipei was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
1′KICK-OFF AC Taipei v Taichung Rock FC
2′Much as we predicted: AC Taipei was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' AC Taipei win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
45′HALF-TIME AC Taipei 0–0 Taichung Rock FC
46′SECOND HALF AC Taipei 0–0 Taichung Rock FC
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' AC Taipei 1–0 Taichung Rock FC
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' AC Taipei 1–1 Taichung Rock FC
90′⚽ GOAL · 94' AC Taipei 2–1 Taichung Rock FC
FTFULL TIME AC Taipei 2–1 Taichung Rock FC
FTAC Taipei 2–1 Taichung Rock FC · AC Taipei win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

AC Taipei win51%

Draw22%

Taichung Rock FC win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 09:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

AC Taipei

Taichung Rock FC

21Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	AC Taipei	2	+1	3
8	Taichung Rock FC	2	−5	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ac taipei winPublished 11 Oct 09:04

51% The market–

Us51%

We make AC Taipei a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AC Taipei win	51%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Taichung Rock FC win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
AC Taipei or draw	73%	–	–
AC Taipei clean sheet	34%	–	–
Taichung Rock FC clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.7%

0123450 5.7 8.2 3.9 1 11.7 10.3 6.2 2.3 2 8.6 9.2 5.0 3 4.8 5.1 2.8 4 2.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AC Taipei down, Taichung Rock FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 464 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AC Taipei at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Taichung Rock FC away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for AC Taipei, 1.10 for Taichung Rock FC. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~TAI 1–2 ACT · TAI 3–1 ACT · ACT 2–2 TAI

Form · last six in Taiwan Football Premier League

AC TAIPEI

WWWLLW1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–0

TAICHUNG ROCK FC

WLLWLL1–0 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–5 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	2	+5	6
2	Taipower	2	+3	6
3	Tatung	2	+1	4
4	AC Taipei	2	+1	3
5	Hang Yuen	2	0	2
6	Tainan City	2	−2	1
7	Taichung Futuro	2	−3	0
8	Taichung Rock FC	2	−5	0