AC Taipei v Hang Yuen prediction · Taiwan Football Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AC TaipeiDrawHang Yuen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hang Yuen 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hang Yuen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AC Taipei 33%, draw 28%, Hang Yuen 39%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on AC Taipei v Hang YuenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

AC Taipei win33%

Draw28%

Hang Yuen win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 08:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AC Taipei

Hang Yuen

7Days since last match1

Last match: 18 Oct · Taiwan Football Premier League

Last match: 24 Oct · AFC Challenge League

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	AC Taipei	4	+2	7
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hang yuen winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Hang Yuen a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AC Taipei v Hang Yuen~~1.03 – 1.13

~~Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W0 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 3~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AC Taipei win	33%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Hang Yuen win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
AC Taipei or draw	61%	–	–
AC Taipei clean sheet	33%	–	–
Hang Yuen clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.7%

0123450 11.3 13.7 7.4 2.8 1 12.5 12.4 7.4 2.8 2 6.1 6.7 3.8 3 2.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AC Taipei down, Hang Yuen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 470 Taiwan Football Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Taiwan Football Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AC Taipei at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hang Yuen away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.03 goals for AC Taipei, 1.13 for Hang Yuen. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HAN 2–0 ACT · HAN 1–0 ACT · ACT 2–1 HAN · HAN 1–2 ACT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Taiwan Football Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

AC TAIPEI

LWWD0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

HANG YUEN

DDD1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kaohsiung	4	+5	8
2	AC Taipei	4	+2	7
3	Taipower	3	+2	6
4	Tatung	4	+1	6
5	Taichung Futuro	4	−2	4
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3
7	Tainan City	3	−2	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	3	−6	0