Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shandong Luneng win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shandong Luneng was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 30–23–47
3. 1′KICK-OFF Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng
4. 8′Shandong Luneng ahead on 8′ through Memet Imran. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–16–70
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 Shandong Luneng · Memet Imran
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 70% now
7. 9′GOAL DISALLOWED · 9' Shandong Luneng
8. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 46% now
9. 12′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 13–17–70
10. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 Shandong Luneng · Memet Imran
11. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 70% now
12. 13′He Guan scores for Wuhan Three Towns on 12′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–25–46
13. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 Shandong Luneng · He Guan
14. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 46% now
15. 18′18′: Cryzan on the scoresheet for Shandong Luneng, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 13–17–70
16. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Shandong Luneng · Cryzan
17. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 70% now
18. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Zheng Haoqian · Wuhan Three Towns
19. 27′Shandong Luneng ahead on 27′ through Cryzan. 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
20. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shandong Luneng · Cryzan (penalty)
21. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 89% now
22. 28′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–3 · 3–8–89
23. 30′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 3–8–89
24. 34′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–3 · 3–7–90
25. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Xu Haofeng · Wuhan Three Towns
26. 45′HALF-TIME Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shandong Luneng
27. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shandong Luneng · On: Y. Li · Off: Memet Imran
28. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shandong Luneng · On: R. Merkies · Off: Mijit Mewlan
29. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Wuhan Three Towns · On: J. Cadiz · Off: Zheng Haoqian
30. 46′SECOND HALF Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shandong Luneng
31. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' He Guan · Wuhan Three Towns
32. 60′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–3 · 1–5–95
33. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Wuhan Three Towns · On: Li Shenyuan · Off: Xu Haofeng
34. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Shandong Luneng · On: Yang Ruiqi · Off: Xie Wenneng
35. 68′J. Cadiz scores for Wuhan Three Towns on 67′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 4–17–79
36. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 Shandong Luneng · J. Cadiz (penalty)
37. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
38. 69′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–3 · 3–17–80
39. 69′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 3–17–80
40. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Shandong Luneng · On: Shi Songchen · Off: Chen Pu
41. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Wuhan Three Towns · On: Long Wei · Off: Zhang Xiaobin
42. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Shi Songchen · Shandong Luneng
43. 76′76′: J. Cadiz on the scoresheet for Wuhan Three Towns, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 16–63–21
44. 76′We said Shandong Luneng at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 3–3 · 16–63–21
45. 76′75′: J. Cadiz on the scoresheet for Wuhan Three Towns, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 16–63–21
46. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Wuhan Three Towns 3–3 Shandong Luneng · J. Cadiz
47. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
48. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Shandong Luneng win 83%)
49. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Li Shenyuan · Wuhan Three Towns
50. 77′13 shots for Shandong Luneng, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 3–3 · 15–64–20
51. 77′6 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 15–64–20
52. 78′We said Shandong Luneng at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 14–66–19
53. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Shandong Luneng · On: Chen Zeshi · Off: Peng Xiao
54. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
55. 82′We said Shandong Luneng at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 3–3 · 11–75–14
56. 84′Shandong Luneng ahead on 83′ through V. Qazaishvili. 3–4. 3–4 · 0–8–91
57. 84′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 0–8–91
58. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Wuhan Three Towns 3–4 Shandong Luneng · V. Qazaishvili
59. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 91% now
60. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Shandong Luneng win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 78%)
61. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Wuhan Three Towns · On: Wang Jinxian · Off: J. Xiong
62. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Shandong Luneng win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
63. 94′V. Qazaishvili scores for Shandong Luneng on 90′ — 3–5. 3–5 · 0–0–100
64. 94′We published Shandong Luneng at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–5 · 0–0–100
65. 94′8 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–5 · 0–0–100
66. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Wuhan Three Towns 3–5 Shandong Luneng · V. Qazaishvili
67. FTFULL TIME Wuhan Three Towns 3–5 Shandong Luneng
68. FTWuhan Three Towns 3–5 Shandong Luneng · Shandong Luneng win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.