Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shanghai Shenhua win at 54%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shanghai Shenhua was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 25–22–54
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua
4. 15′SUBSTITUTION · 15' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Wang Haijian · Off: Wu Xi
5. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Sichuan Jiuniu 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
7. 46′Dai Wai-Tsun scores for Sichuan Jiuniu on 46′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 56–26–18
8. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' J. Teixeira · Shanghai Shenhua
9. 46′SECOND HALF Sichuan Jiuniu 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
10. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Sichuan Jiuniu 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua · Dai Wai-Tsun
11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 18% now
12. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Sichuan Jiuniu win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Shanghai Shenhua win 44%)
13. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 18% now
14. 46′PENALTY MISSED · 90+16' Rafael Ratao · Shanghai Shenhua
15. 47′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 57–26–18
16. 54′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 60–26–14
17. 54′54′: J. Teixeira on the scoresheet for Shanghai Shenhua, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 22–37–40
18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
19. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua · J. Teixeira
20. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 40% now
21. 55′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 22–38–40
22. 56′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 22–39–39
23. 56′11 shots for Sichuan Jiuniu, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 22–39–39
24. 57′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 1–1 · 22–40–39
25. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Sichuan Jiuniu win 60%)
26. 62′GOAL DISALLOWED · 54' J. Teixeira · Shanghai Shenhua
27. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 11% now
28. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Sichuan Jiuniu win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 43%)
29. 64′64′: Yang Shuai on the scoresheet for Shanghai Shenhua, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 20–46–34
30. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Yang Shuai · Off: Jiang Shenglong
31. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua · Yang Shuai
32. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
33. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Sichuan Jiuniu win 66%)
34. 65′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 20–47–34
35. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Xu Haoyang · Off: Xie Pengfei
36. 71′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 17–54–29
37. 76′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 14–62–24
38. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
39. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sichuan Jiuniu · On: Yu Rui · Off: H. Shen
40. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' W. Manafa · Shanghai Shenhua
41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sichuan Jiuniu · On: Li Long · Off: Z. Xuan
42. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Wang Shilong · Off: Yang Zexiang
43. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
44. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Li Songyi · Off: Jin Shunkai
45. 88′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 5–86–9
46. 92′Sichuan Jiuniu ahead on 90′ through Wesley Moraes. 2–1. 2–1 · 95–4–0
47. 92′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 95–4–0
48. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Sichuan Jiuniu 2–1 Shanghai Shenhua · Wesley Moraes (penalty)
49. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Shanghai Shenhua win: 54% at kick-off, under 1% now
50. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Sichuan Jiuniu win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 91%)
51. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Sichuan Jiuniu · On: Yao Junsheng · Off: A. Ademi
52. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Sichuan Jiuniu · On: Li Ning · Off: Dai Wai-Tsun
53. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+7' D. Owusu-Sekyere · Sichuan Jiuniu
54. 104′🟨 YELLOW · 90+14' Yu Rui · Sichuan Jiuniu
55. FTFULL TIME Sichuan Jiuniu 2–1 Shanghai Shenhua
56. FTSichuan Jiuniu 2–1 Shanghai Shenhua · Shanghai Shenhua win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.