Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shenyang Urban win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shenyang Urban was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–22–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown
4. 29′28′: Jeffinho on the scoresheet for Shenyang Urban, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 67–19–14
5. 29′We published Shenyang Urban at 42%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–0 · 67–19–14
6. 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' Shenyang Urban 1–0 Hangzhou Greentown · Jeffinho
7. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–0 · 67–19–14
9. 41′Hangzhou Greentown level it on 40′ through Tao Qianglong. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–31–32
10. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Shenyang Urban 1–1 Hangzhou Greentown · Tao Qianglong
11. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Shenyang Urban 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown
13. 46′SECOND HALF Shenyang Urban 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown
14. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Pan Ximing · Shenyang Urban
15. 51′A. Mitrita scores for Hangzhou Greentown on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 12–23–66
16. 51′⚽ GOAL · 45+6' Shenyang Urban 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown · A. Mitrita
17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+6' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
18. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+6' Hangzhou Greentown win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Shenyang Urban win 35%)
19. 52′We said Shenyang Urban at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–2 · 11–23–66
20. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Hangzhou Greentown · On: Felippe Cardoso · Off: Tao Qianglong
21. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Shenyang Urban · On: Pang Shenghan · Off: Yuan Mincheng
22. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Shenyang Urban · On: G. Mbenza · Off: Gao Jiarun
23. 59′We said Shenyang Urban at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–22–68
24. 61′61′: Felippe Cardoso on the scoresheet for Hangzhou Greentown, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–92
25. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Shenyang Urban 1–3 Hangzhou Greentown · Felippe Cardoso
26. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
27. 62′We said Shenyang Urban at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–6–92
28. 62′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 2–6–92
29. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Shenyang Urban · On: Yan Dinghao · Off: Tian Deao
30. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Shenyang Urban · On: Li Tixiang · Off: Tian Yinong
31. 68′Shenyang Urban pull one back on 68′ through G. Mbenza. 2–3. 2–3 · 6–21–73
32. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Shenyang Urban 2–3 Hangzhou Greentown · G. Mbenza
33. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 6% now
34. 69′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 5–21–74
35. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Shenyang Urban win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Hangzhou Greentown · On: Wang Shiqin · Off: Sun Guowen
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hangzhou Greentown · On: A. Zhang · Off: Tong Lei
38. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Shenyang Urban · On: Tian Yuda · Off: Jeffinho
39. 86′Y. Wang scores for Hangzhou Greentown on 86′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–99
40. 86′6 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–99
41. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Shenyang Urban 2–4 Hangzhou Greentown · Y. Wang
42. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Hangzhou Greentown · On: Fang Hao · Off: Y. Wang
43. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Hangzhou Greentown · On: A. N'Doumbou · Off: Bao Shengxin
44. FTFULL TIME Shenyang Urban 2–4 Hangzhou Greentown
45. FTShenyang Urban 2–4 Hangzhou Greentown · Shenyang Urban win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.