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Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun
Super League · SAT 10 OCT · Shanghai Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Shanghai Shenhua win at 59%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Shanghai Shenhua was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–18–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 12' Shanghai Shenhua 0–0 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 12′Rafael Ratao scores for Shanghai Shenhua on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–13–10
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Shanghai Shenhua win: 59% at kick-off, 77% now
- 16′We published Shanghai Shenhua at 59%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–13–9
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 31' Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Yunnan Yukun · Cleber (assist O. Taty Maritu)
- 32′31′ and it is 1–1: Cleber on the scoresheet for Yunnan Yukun. 1–1 · 53–24–23
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Yunnan Yukun · Cleber
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Shanghai Shenhua win: 59% at kick-off, 53% now
- 34′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 53–24–23
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 38' Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 39′13.0 shots for Shanghai Shenhua, 5.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 51–26–23
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 43' Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Yunnan Yukun · Xie Pengfei
- 43′Shanghai Shenhua ahead on 43′ through Xie Pengfei. 2–1. 2–1 · 77–15–7
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Yunnan Yukun · Xie Pengfei
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Shanghai Shenhua win: 59% at kick-off, 77% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Yunnan Yukun
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Yunnan Yukun · On: Abdusalam Bunyamin · Off: Duan Liuyu
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 53' Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Yunnan Yukun · Jin Shunkai
- 53′Jin Shunkai scores for Shanghai Shenhua on 53′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Shanghai Shenhua 3–1 Yunnan Yukun · Jin Shunkai
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Shanghai Shenhua win: 59% at kick-off, 94% now
- 56′We published Shanghai Shenhua at 59%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 57' Shanghai Shenhua 3–1 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 57′57′ and it is 4–1: Rafael Ratao on the scoresheet for Shanghai Shenhua. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Shanghai Shenhua 4–1 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Shanghai Shenhua win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 58′We published Shanghai Shenhua at 59%. Our model now makes it 99%. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 59′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Tsui Wang-Kit · Yunnan Yukun
- 61′Shanghai Shenhua ahead on 62′ through Wang Haijian. 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 62' Shanghai Shenhua 4–1 Yunnan Yukun · Wang Haijian
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Shanghai Shenhua 5–1 Yunnan Yukun · Wang Haijian
- 63′We published Shanghai Shenhua at 59%. Our model now makes it 100%. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 69′6 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Yunnan Yukun · On: Huang Zichang · Off: Deng Hanwen
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Gao Tianyi · Off: J. Teixeira
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Xu Haoyang · Off: Xie Pengfei
- 74′Rafael Ratao scores for Shanghai Shenhua on 75′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 76' Shanghai Shenhua 5–1 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Yunnan Yukun · On: Zhao Yuhao · Off: O. Taty Maritu
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Shanghai Shenhua 6–1 Yunnan Yukun · Rafael Ratao
- 77′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Yunnan Yukun · On: Ye Chugui · Off: A. Ionita II Corrected
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Yunnan Yukun · On: Zhao Yuhao · Off: O. Taty Maritu
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Han Jiawen · Off: Rafael Ratao
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Liu Chengyu · Off: L. Asue
- 81′81′ and it is 7–1: Liu Chengyu on the scoresheet for Shanghai Shenhua. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Shanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan Yukun · Liu Chengyu (assist Xu Haoyang)
- 83′8 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Yang Zexiang · Off: Wu Xi
- FTFULL TIME Shanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan Yukun
- FTShanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan Yukun · Shanghai Shenhua win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 12:35
Venue · Shanghai Stadium
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Shanghai Shenhua
4-4-2
1 Xue Qinghao
13 W. Manafa
3 Jin Shunkai
5 Zhu Chenjie
27 Chan Shinichi
19 L. Asue
33 Wang Haijian
15 Wu Xi
30 Xie Pengfei
10 J. Teixeira
9 Rafael Ratao
Coach · Vladan Milojevic
Substitutes
24 · Ma Zhen
40 · J. Wang
16 · Yang Zexiang
26 · Yang Shuai
25 · Zhu Yue
2 · Wang Shilong
38 · Wu Qipeng
17 · Gao Tianyi
21 · Xu Haoyang
45 · Han Jiawen
43 · Yang Haoyu
18 · Liu Chengyu
Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3
23 Wang Zhifeng
25 Deng Hanwen
33 A. Burca
2 Hu Ruibao
3 Tsui Wang-Kit
22 Duan Liuyu
8 Xu Xin
34 Caio Vinicius
10 A. Ionita II
9 Cleber
11 O. Taty Maritu
Coach · Jordi Vinyals
Substitutes
1 · Bao Yaxiong
14 · Wang Xinghao
5 · Shi Ke
27 · Han Zilong
16 · Zhang Xiangshuo
21 · Yang Zihao
6 · Zhao Yuhao
30 · J. Saeter
39 · Abdusalam Bunyamin
7 · Ye Chugui
19 · Huang Zichang
36 · Fei Ernanduo
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Shanghai Shenhua
4-4-2
1 Xue Qinghao
13 W. Manafa
3 Jin Shunkai
5 Zhu Chenjie
27 Chan Shinichi
19 L. Asue
33 Wang Haijian
15 Wu Xi
30 Xie Pengfei
10 J. Teixeira
9 Rafael Ratao
Coach · Vladan Milojevic
Substitutes
24 · Ma Zhen
40 · J. Wang
16 · Yang Zexiang
26 · Yang Shuai
25 · Zhu Yue
2 · Wang Shilong
38 · Wu Qipeng
17 · Gao Tianyi
21 · Xu Haoyang
45 · Han Jiawen
43 · Yang Haoyu
18 · Liu Chengyu
Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3
23 Wang Zhifeng
25 Deng Hanwen
33 A. Burca
2 Hu Ruibao
3 Tsui Wang-Kit
22 Duan Liuyu
8 Xu Xin
34 Caio Vinicius
10 A. Ionita II
9 Cleber
11 O. Taty Maritu
Coach · Jordi Vinyals
Substitutes
1 · Bao Yaxiong
14 · Wang Xinghao
5 · Shi Ke
27 · Han Zilong
16 · Zhang Xiangshuo
21 · Yang Zihao
6 · Zhao Yuhao
30 · J. Saeter
39 · Abdusalam Bunyamin
7 · Ye Chugui
19 · Huang Zichang
36 · Fei Ernanduo
We make Shanghai Shenhua a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 2.7–1.6.
Published at 60%, 59% now. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua win | 59% | 60% | 0 |
| Draw | 18% | 19% | −1 |
| Yunnan Yukun win | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 78% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 73% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 91% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Shanghai Shenhua or draw | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Yunnan Yukun clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Super League
SHANGHAI SHENHUA
YUNNAN YUKUN
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | +3 | 43 |
| 4 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | +9 | 41 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | +6 | 41 |
| 6 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | −4 | 40 |
| 7 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | −1 | 38 |
| 9 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | +4 | 35 |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 27 | −2 | 34 |
| 12 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | −5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | −11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | −7 | 26 |
| 15 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | −13 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | −22 | 21 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
Hangzhou Greentown
Tianjin Teda
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon