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Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian ZhixingSuper League · SUN 11 OCT · Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Qingdao Youth Island win at 46%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Qingdao Youth Island was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
- 3′Much as we predicted: Qingdao Youth Island was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
- 7′Dalian Zhixing ahead on 7′ through F. Acheampong. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–24–55
- 8′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–24–55
- 10′Dalian Zhixing ahead on 7′ through F. Acheampong. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–24–55
- 11′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–24–55
- 16′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
- 20′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Qingdao Youth Island win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Qingdao Youth Island win: 46% at kick-off, 17% now
- 32′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 15–25–60
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Qingdao Youth Island win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 33′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Bruno Viana · Qingdao Youth Island
- 41′We said Qingdao Youth Island at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–25–63
- 42′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 12–25–63
- 45′HALF-TIME Qingdao Youth Island 0–1 Dalian Zhixing
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Qingdao Youth Island win: 46% at kick-off, 11% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Dalian Zhixing win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Qingdao Youth Island win 11%)
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Qingdao Youth Island · On: He Longhai · Off: Lohman Elnizar Corrected
- 46′SECOND HALF Qingdao Youth Island 0–1 Dalian Zhixing
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Dalian Zhixing · On: Yang Mingrui · Off: Luo Jing
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Qingdao Youth Island · On: Yang Zhanpeng · Off: Meng Jingchao Corrected
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' S. Memisevic · Qingdao Youth Island
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Qingdao Youth Island 0–2 Dalian Zhixing · F. Acheampong
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Qingdao Youth Island 0–3 Dalian Zhixing · F. Acheampong
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Qingdao Youth Island 0–3 Dalian Zhixing · F. Acheampong
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Qingdao Youth Island · On: Jia Weiwei · Off: X. Zhang Corrected
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Yang Zhanpeng · Qingdao Youth Island
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Dalian Zhixing · On: Zhang Huachen · Off: Liao Jintao Corrected
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dalian Zhixing · On: Huang Shan · Off: N. Stanciu Corrected
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dalian Zhixing · On: Feng Jing · Off: P. Delgado Corrected
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Qingdao Youth Island · On: Xie Alexander · Off: N. Da Luz Corrected
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Qingdao Youth Island 0–4 Dalian Zhixing · F. Acheampong
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Dalian Zhixing · On: Sun Kangbo · Off: Lu Zhuoyi Corrected
- FTFULL TIME Qingdao Youth Island 0–4 Dalian Zhixing
- FTQingdao Youth Island 0–4 Dalian Zhixing · Qingdao Youth Island win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Qingdao Youth Island win46%
Dalian Zhixing win27%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00
VenueQingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center
Match timeline
All events
Qingdao Youth IslandMIN
Dalian ZhixingEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Qingdao Youth Island
4-2-3-1
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Qingdao Youth Island
4-2-3-1
16 H. Li
4 Lohman Elnizar
5 S. Memisevic
2 Bruno Viana
22 Wang Gengrui
8 X. Zhang
28 Zhang Chengdong
10 N. Da Luz
21 Meng Jingchao
11 Davidson
9 A. Yakubu
Coach · Bowen Huang
Substitutes
26 · Liu Shibo
36 · Sun Jie
3 · Zhao Honglue
32 · Ding Haifeng
15 · Wang Peng
20 · He Longhai
35 · Nan Song
18 · B. Braunshtain
6 · S. Jin
31 · Xie Alexander
29 · Jia Weiwei
30 · Yang Zhanpeng
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
20 Liu Weiguo
38 Lu Zhuoyi
2 M. Traore
6 Song Yue
12 Feng Boxuan
40 Liao Jintao
4 I. Alimi
9 P. Delgado
10 N. Stanciu
7 Luo Jing
30 F. Acheampong
Coach · Guoxu Li
Substitutes
1 · Ge Peng
26 · Huang Zihao
33 · Cao Haiqing
15 · Wen Jiabao
28 · Sun Kangbo
21 · Lu Peng
8 · Zhang Huachen
23 · Huang Shan
44 · Feng Jing
27 · Yang Mingrui
24 · Bi Jinhao
59 · L. Xiao
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Qingdao Youth Island
4-2-3-1
16 H. Li
4 Lohman Elnizar
5 S. Memisevic
2 Bruno Viana
22 Wang Gengrui
8 X. Zhang
28 Zhang Chengdong
10 N. Da Luz
21 Meng Jingchao
11 Davidson
9 A. Yakubu
Coach · Bowen Huang
Substitutes
26 · Liu Shibo
36 · Sun Jie
3 · Zhao Honglue
32 · Ding Haifeng
15 · Wang Peng
20 · He Longhai
35 · Nan Song
18 · B. Braunshtain
6 · S. Jin
31 · Xie Alexander
29 · Jia Weiwei
30 · Yang Zhanpeng
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
20 Liu Weiguo
38 Lu Zhuoyi
2 M. Traore
6 Song Yue
12 Feng Boxuan
40 Liao Jintao
4 I. Alimi
9 P. Delgado
10 N. Stanciu
7 Luo Jing
30 F. Acheampong
Coach · Guoxu Li
Substitutes
1 · Ge Peng
26 · Huang Zihao
33 · Cao Haiqing
15 · Wen Jiabao
28 · Sun Kangbo
21 · Lu Peng
8 · Zhang Huachen
23 · Huang Shan
44 · Feng Jing
27 · Yang Mingrui
24 · Bi Jinhao
59 · L. Xiao
We make Qingdao Youth Island a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 42% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island win | 46% | 42% | +4 |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| Dalian Zhixing win | 27% | 32% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 55% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 59% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 77% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 35% | −11 |
| Qingdao Youth Island or draw | 73% | 68% | +5 |
| Qingdao Youth Island clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Dalian Zhixing clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Super League
QINGDAO YOUTH ISLAND
DALIAN ZHIXING
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 27 | +20 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | +12 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | +3 | 43 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | +9 | 41 |
| 6 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | −4 | 40 |
| 7 | Tianjin Teda | 27 | +5 | 38 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | −1 | 38 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | −3 | 38 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Henan Jianye | 27 | −2 | 34 |
| 12 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | −5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | −11 | 29 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | −7 | 26 |
| 15 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | −13 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | −22 | 21 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon