Chengdu Better City v Tianjin Teda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chengdu Better City win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Chengdu Better City 57% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chengdu Better City v Tianjin Teda
4. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Tianjin Teda · On: Guilherme Schettine · Off: Wang Qiuming
5. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
6. 43′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–36–18
7. 45′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
8. 45′HALF-TIME Chengdu Better City 0–0 Tianjin Teda
9. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tianjin Teda · On: Huang Jiahui · Off: Chen Zhexuan
10. 46′SECOND HALF Chengdu Better City 0–0 Tianjin Teda
11. 57′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–46–16
12. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Chengdu Better City win 38%)
13. 58′Goalless on 58′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 37–46–16
14. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
15. 62′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–15
16. 70′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–59–13
17. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Tianjin Teda · On: Ba Dun · Off: Wang Zhenghao
18. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Chengdu Better City · On: Liao Rongxiang · Off: He Yiran
19. 76′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–0 · 21–68–10
20. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 21% now
21. 78′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–9
22. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 16% now
23. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Chengdu Better City · On: M. Iminqari · Off: Wellington Silva
24. 83′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–82–6
25. 86′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–0 · 7–89–4
26. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
27. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Chengdu Better City · On: A. C. Jojo · Off: Wang Dongsheng
28. 90′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 0%. 0–0 · 0–100–0
29. 90′Tianjin Teda ahead on 90′ through A. Quiles. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–0–100
30. 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Chengdu Better City 0–1 Tianjin Teda · A. Quiles
31. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Tianjin Teda win is now our likeliest result at 100% (was Draw 0%)
32. FTFULL TIME Chengdu Better City 0–1 Tianjin Teda
33. FTChengdu Better City 0–1 Tianjin Teda · Chengdu Better City win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.