Home › Football › Super League › Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing
Back

Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
Dalian ZhixingSuper League · SAT 24 OCT · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Chengdu Better City win at 57%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Chengdu Better City 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–23–20
- 1′KICK-OFF Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' He Yiran · Chengdu Better City
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' P. Delgado · Dalian Zhixing
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
- 40′PENALTY MISSED · 40' Felipe Silva · Chengdu Better City
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' I. Alimi · Dalian Zhixing
- 43′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–35–19
- 45′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–19
- 45′HALF-TIME Chengdu Better City 0–0 Dalian Zhixing
- 46′SECOND HALF Chengdu Better City 0–0 Dalian Zhixing
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 40–43–18
- 56′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Chengdu Better City win 41%)
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Dalian Zhixing · On: Yang Mingrui · Off: Luo Jing
- 63′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
- 64′Chengdu Better City have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 34–51–16
- 67′66′: M. Traore on the scoresheet for Dalian Zhixing, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–24–69
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Chengdu Better City 0–1 Dalian Zhixing · M. Traore
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Chengdu Better City win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Dalian Zhixing win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 53%)
- 68′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–24–70
- 73′We said Chengdu Better City at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Chengdu Better City · On: Wang Ziming · Off: Romulo
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Chengdu Better City · On: Y. Li · Off: Han Pengfei
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Chengdu Better City · On: Wang Dongsheng · Off: He Yiran
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Chengdu Better City · On: Liao Rongxiang · Off: Abduweli Behram
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Liao Jintao · Dalian Zhixing
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Dalian Zhixing · On: Lu Peng · Off: F. Acheampong
- 91′Chengdu Better City level it on 90′ through H. Hu. 1–1. 1–1 · 5–92–3
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Chengdu Better City 1–1 Dalian Zhixing · H. Hu
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Dalian Zhixing win 94%)
- 92′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' H. Hu · Chengdu Better City
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Dalian Zhixing win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 94%)
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+6' Dalian Zhixing · On: Huang Shan · Off: P. Delgado
- FTFULL TIME Chengdu Better City 0–1 Dalian Zhixing
- FTChengdu Better City 0–1 Dalian Zhixing · Chengdu Better City win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Chengdu Better City are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Chengdu Better City 57%, draw 23%, Dalian Zhixing 20%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Chengdu Better City win57%
Dalian Zhixing win20%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 08:30
RoundMatchday 29
VenueChengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Match timeline
All events
Chengdu Better CityMIN
Dalian ZhixingEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Chengdu Better City
4-2-3-1
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Chengdu Better City
Dalian Zhixing
Last match: 18 Oct · the Chinese Super League
Last match: 17 Oct · the Chinese Super League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Chengdu Better City
4-2-3-1
32 Liu Dianzuo
4 He Yiran
18 Han Pengfei
28 Egor Sorokin
2 Hu Hetao
16 Yang Ming-Yang
5 Matheus Jussa
11 Wellington Silva
10 Rômulo
27 Baihelamu Abuduwaili
9 Felipe Silva
Coach · –
Substitutes
15 · Weifeng Ran
1 · Tao Jian
17 · Wang Dongsheng
22 · Yang Li
58 · Liao Rongxiang
29 · Iminqari Mutallep
39 · Gan Chao
23 · Liao Lisheng
6 · Feng Zhuoyi
25 · Mirahmetjan Muzepper
20 · Wang Ziming
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
20 Weiguo Liu
38 Lü Zhuoyi
2 Mamadou Traoré
6 Yue Song
12 Feng Boxuan
40 Jintao Liao
4 Isnik Alimi
9 Pedro Delgado
10 Nicolae Stanciu
7 Luo Jing
30 Frank Acheampong
Coach · –
Substitutes
26 · Zihao Huang
1 · Ge Peng
33 · Haiqing Cao
28 · Kangbo Sun
5 · Peng Shunjie
44 · Feng Jin
8 · Huachen Zhang
21 · Peng Lü
27 · Yang Mingrui
23 · Shan Huang
37 · Chengrui Zhang
59 · Lirong Xiao
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Chengdu Better City
4-2-3-1
32 Liu Dianzuo
4 He Yiran
18 Han Pengfei
28 Egor Sorokin
2 Hu Hetao
16 Yang Ming-Yang
5 Matheus Jussa
11 Wellington Silva
10 Rômulo
27 Baihelamu Abuduwaili
9 Felipe Silva
Coach · –
Substitutes
15 · Weifeng Ran
1 · Tao Jian
17 · Wang Dongsheng
22 · Yang Li
58 · Liao Rongxiang
29 · Iminqari Mutallep
39 · Gan Chao
23 · Liao Lisheng
6 · Feng Zhuoyi
25 · Mirahmetjan Muzepper
20 · Wang Ziming
Dalian Zhixing
4-2-3-1
20 Weiguo Liu
38 Lü Zhuoyi
2 Mamadou Traoré
6 Yue Song
12 Feng Boxuan
40 Jintao Liao
4 Isnik Alimi
9 Pedro Delgado
10 Nicolae Stanciu
7 Luo Jing
30 Frank Acheampong
Coach · –
Substitutes
26 · Zihao Huang
1 · Ge Peng
33 · Haiqing Cao
28 · Kangbo Sun
5 · Peng Shunjie
44 · Feng Jin
8 · Huachen Zhang
21 · Peng Lü
27 · Yang Mingrui
23 · Shan Huang
37 · Chengrui Zhang
59 · Lirong Xiao
We make Chengdu Better City a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 58%, 57% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City win | 57% | 47% | +10 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Dalian Zhixing win | 20% | 28% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 59% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 61% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 38% | −5 |
| Chengdu Better City or draw | 80% | 72% | +8 |
| Chengdu Better City clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Dalian Zhixing clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2023Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League this season · since 15 Aug
CHENGDU BETTER CITY
DALIAN ZHIXING
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 28 | +17 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 28 | +2 | 46 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | +20 | 44 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 28 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 28 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | −3 | 39 |
| 7 | Qingdao Youth Island | 28 | −6 | 38 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | +14 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 28 | −5 | 33 |
| 10 | Tianjin Teda | 28 | +6 | 31 |
| 11 | Hangzhou Greentown | 28 | −5 | 31 |
| 12 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 28 | −13 | 29 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 28 | −9 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 28 | −3 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | −9 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 28 | −26 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai Shenhua
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Tianjin Teda
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Jonoon