Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Beijing Guoan win at 63%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Beijing Guoan 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–21–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island
4. 22′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Beijing Guoan · On: Zhang Xizhe · Off: F. Abreu
5. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
6. 40′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 51%. 0–0 · 51–32–17
7. 44′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–34–17
8. 45′HALF-TIME Beijing Guoan 0–0 Qingdao Youth Island
9. 46′SECOND HALF Beijing Guoan 0–0 Qingdao Youth Island
10. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Meng Jingchao · Qingdao Youth Island
11. 54′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–16
12. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 44–41–16
13. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
14. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Beijing Guoan win 40%)
15. 61′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–46–15
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Qingdao Youth Island · On: Yang Zhanpeng · Off: Meng Jingchao
17. 67′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–13
18. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beijing Guoan · On: Yue Tze-Nam · Off: Wang Gang
19. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Beijing Guoan · On: Li Lei · Off: Bai Yang
20. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
21. 70′12 shots for Beijing Guoan, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 31–56–13
22. 72′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–12
23. 77′We said Beijing Guoan at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–67–10
24. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
25. 78′We said Beijing Guoan at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–0 · 91–9–1
26. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Beijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island
27. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 91% now
28. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Beijing Guoan win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
29. 79′Beijing Guoan ahead on 78′ through Zhang Yuning. 1–0. 1–0 · 91–8–1
30. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Beijing Guoan win: 63% at kick-off, 93% now
31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Beijing Guoan · On: Deng Jiefu · Off: Lin Liangming
32. 84′We said Beijing Guoan at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
33. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Cao Yongjing · Beijing Guoan
34. FTFULL TIME Beijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island
35. FTBeijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island · Beijing Guoan win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.