Shanghai Second v Guangdong Mingtu

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guangdong Mingtu win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Guangdong Mingtu 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 33–31–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shanghai Second v Guangdong Mingtu
4. 20′SUBSTITUTION · 19' Guangdong Mingtu · On: J. Qu · Off: Sun Chenxi
5. 26′26′: Gu Zhiwei on the scoresheet for Guangdong Mingtu, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 10–20–70
6. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Shanghai Second 0–1 Guangdong Mingtu · Gu Zhiwei
7. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Guangdong Mingtu win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
8. 28′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–20–70
9. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Shanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Guangdong Mingtu win: 37% at kick-off, 33% now
11. 30′Shanghai Second level it on 29′ through Xiang Ruoke. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–37–33
12. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Guangdong Mingtu win 33%)
13. 45′HALF-TIME Shanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu
14. 45′SECOND HALF Shanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu
15. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' He Shaolin · Shanghai Second
16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Guangdong Mingtu win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
17. 57′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 23–52–25
18. 59′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–53–24
19. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Shanghai Second · On: Aidi · Off: Wang Jiahao
20. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Jiang Yixiang · Guangdong Mingtu
21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Guangdong Mingtu · On: Li Ming · Off: Yang Zhengyi
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Guangdong Mingtu · On: Zhu Xinyu · Off: Jiang Yixiang
23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Guangdong Mingtu · On: H. Fang · Off: Chen Rijin
24. 64′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 20–58–22
25. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shanghai Second · On: Liu Wenjie · Off: He Shaolin
26. 69′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
27. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Guangdong Mingtu win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
28. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' B. He · Shanghai Second
29. 76′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
30. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Shanghai Second · On: Yang Yi · Off: Jiang Zhixin
31. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Shanghai Second · On: Lin Jinghao · Off: B. He
32. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Aidi · Shanghai Second
33. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' H. Fang · Guangdong Mingtu
34. 82′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
35. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Guangdong Mingtu win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Guangdong Mingtu · On: Tan Zhennan · Off: Zhang Zhihao
37. 89′We said Guangdong Mingtu at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
38. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Li Ming · Guangdong Mingtu
39. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Xiang Ruoke · Shanghai Second
40. 99′SUBSTITUTION · 90+9' Shanghai Second · On: He Linhan · Off: Xu Lei
41. FTFULL TIME Shanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu
42. FTShanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu · Guangdong Mingtu win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.