Shanghai Port II v Langfang Glory City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shanghai Port II win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Shanghai Port II 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–29–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shanghai Port II v Langfang Glory City
4. 5′Shanghai Port II ahead on 5′ through Q. Yang. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–8
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Shanghai Port II 1–0 Langfang Glory City · Q. Yang
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Shanghai Port II win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
7. 6′We said Shanghai Port II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–7
8. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
9. 41′We said Shanghai Port II at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
10. 45′HALF-TIME Shanghai Port II 1–0 Langfang Glory City
11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Langfang Glory City · On: Ying Yuxiao · Off: Wu Yuhang
12. 46′SECOND HALF Shanghai Port II 1–0 Langfang Glory City
13. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shanghai Port II · On: Han Yang · Off: Zhang Huiyu
14. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shanghai Port II · On: Z. Wang · Off: Li Ruilong Corrected
15. 48′J. Zhang scores for Langfang Glory City on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–45–19
16. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Shanghai Port II 1–1 Langfang Glory City · J. Zhang
17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Shanghai Port II win: 48% at kick-off, 36% now
18. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Shanghai Port II win 81%)
19. 49′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–45–19
20. 52′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–47–19
21. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Langfang Glory City · On: Xiang Yuheng · Off: J. Zhang
22. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Langfang Glory City · On: Jin Minyu · Off: Xu Yike Corrected
23. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Langfang Glory City · On: Jin Minyu · Off: Xu Yike
24. 61′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–16
25. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Shanghai Port II win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
26. 68′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
27. 69′69′: He Tongshuai on the scoresheet for Langfang Glory City, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 4–20–76
28. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Shanghai Port II 1–2 Langfang Glory City · He Tongshuai
29. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Shanghai Port II win: 48% at kick-off, 4% now
30. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Langfang Glory City win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 63%)
31. 70′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–19–77
32. 71′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–19–78
33. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Shanghai Port II · On: Z. Peng · Off: Z. Wang
34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Shanghai Port II · On: Jinhong Liang · Off: Juncheng Cui
35. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Ying Yuxiao · Langfang Glory City
36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Langfang Glory City · On: Zhou Jinlong · Off: Peng Jiahao
37. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Zhou Jinlong · Langfang Glory City
38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Shanghai Port II · On: Deming Li · Off: Cao Zhezhe
39. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Li Shenglong · Shanghai Port II
40. 87′Shanghai Port II level it on 87′ through Deming Li. 2–2. 2–2 · 7–89–4
41. 87′We said Shanghai Port II at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–89–4
42. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Shanghai Port II 2–2 Langfang Glory City · Deming Li
43. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Langfang Glory City win 93%)
44. 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 6–91–4
45. 91′Yao Xing scores for Langfang Glory City on 90′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
46. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Shanghai Port II 2–3 Langfang Glory City · Yao Xing
47. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Langfang Glory City win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 94%)
48. 92′5 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–3–97
49. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Langfang Glory City · On: Huang Xu · Off: Yin Jie
50. FTFULL TIME Shanghai Port II 2–3 Langfang Glory City
51. FTShanghai Port II 2–3 Langfang Glory City · Shanghai Port II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.