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Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port II

Jiangxi Liansheng
0–0Full time
Shanghai Port II

League Two · SAT 17 OCT · Ruichang Sports Park Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II JIANGXI LIANSHENG WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Jiangxi Liansheng win35%
The market said27%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.714
The market’s Brier score0.796

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jiangxi Liansheng win at 35%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Jiangxi Liansheng 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port II
  4. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Jiangxi Liansheng win 32%)
  5. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Bai Zijian · Off: J. Huang
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
  7. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shanghai Port II · On: J. Zhang · Off: Li Ruilong
  8. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Sun Yue · Off: Cao Enze
  9. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Zhang Yanjun · Off: B. Luo
  10. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Pi Ziyang · Off: G. Zhang
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
  12. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Y. Ren · Jiangxi Liansheng
  13. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
  14. 59′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–54–23
  15. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Shanghai Port II · On: Juncheng Cui · Off: Zhang Huiyu
  16. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Li Jaqi · Shanghai Port II
  17. 68′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
  18. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Shanghai Port II · On: Cao Zhezhe · Off: Li Jaqi
  19. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Shanghai Port II · On: Jinhong Liang · Off: Q. Yang
  20. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Guo Song · Off: Y. Ren
  21. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
  22. 75′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
  23. 82′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
  24. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: He Quan · Off: Li Yan
  25. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' J. Zhang · Shanghai Port II
  26. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
  27. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Wang Zhaopu · Shanghai Port II
  28. 89′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  29. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Shanghai Port II · On: Z. Wang · Off: T. Liu
  30. FTFULL TIME Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
  31. FTJiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II · Jiangxi Liansheng win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Jiangxi Liansheng just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Jiangxi Liansheng 35%, draw 31%, Shanghai Port II 34%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Jiangxi Liansheng win35%
Draw31%
Shanghai Port II win34%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 27

VenueRuichang Sports Park Stadium

Line-ups

Jiangxi Liansheng

Shanghai Port II

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jiangxi Liansheng

Shanghai Port II

5Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · the Chinese League Two

Last match: 11 Oct · the Chinese League Two

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Shanghai Port II26+2049
8Jiangxi Liansheng26+438

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Jiangxi Liansheng

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Liang

24 Li Yan

35 Y. Ren

5 Shi Jiwei

16 Chen Yunhua

21 X. Zhu

30 J. Huang

22 Li Jiahao

15 B. Luo

8 Cao Enze

4 G. Zhang

Coach · Jin-han Choi

Substitutes

12 · Li Chen

28 · Li Tianle

2 · He Quan

33 · Guo Song

14 · Zhou Jingxiang

27 · Zhang Yanjun

26 · Pi Ziyang

7 · Sun Yue

6 · G. Liu

11 · Bai Zijian

Shanghai Port II

Formation not confirmed

53 Li Zhiliang

7 Wang Yiwei

20 Xie Hongyu

30 Xu Ruixuan

51 T. Liu

16 Li Jaqi

43 Wang Zhaopu

10 Zhang Huiyu

44 Q. Yang

24 Li Ruilong

14 Li Shenglong

Coach · Cheng Yaodong

Substitutes

1 · Ren Zihao

3 · Z. Wang

48 · Li Junzhe

13 · Jiang Tianle

9 · Deming Li

57 · Jinhong Liang

58 · Cao Zhezhe

17 · Z. Peng

37 · J. Zhang

46 · Juncheng Cui

11 · Z. Li

18 · Han Yang

Our number · jiangxi liansheng winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:33 · locked at kick-off
35% The market27%
Us35%
Market27%

We make Jiangxi Liansheng a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 27%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port II1.12 – 1.09
Form · last six in League Two this season · since 15 AugW2 D0 L4 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 38 v 498 v 2
The market · Jiangxi Liansheng win27% · ours 35%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 11 OCT 04:0117 OCT 11:38
Our probability · Jiangxi Liansheng win The market, margin stripped

Published at 36%, 35% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 27% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Jiangxi Liansheng win35%27%+8
Draw31%28%+3
Shanghai Port II win34%45%−11
Over 2.5 goals38%44%−6
Both teams to score45%49%−4
Over 1.5 goals66%68%−2
Over 3.5 goals19%23%−4
Jiangxi Liansheng or draw66%55%+11
Jiangxi Liansheng clean sheet34%––
Shanghai Port II clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%
0123450 12.3 10.9 6.5 2.4 1 11.2 14.1 7.1 2.6 2 6.9 7.3 4.0 3 2.6 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Jiangxi Liansheng down, Shanghai Port II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsSHA 1–0 JIA · SHA 0–1 JIA · JIA 1–0 SHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League Two this season · since 15 Aug

JIANGXI LIANSHENG

LWLWLL0–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–2

SHANGHAI PORT II

LWWWLW0–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Xi'an Ronghai27+1450
2Shanghai Port II26+2049
3Dalian Kewei27+1148
4Shandong Taishan II26+1346
5Guizhou Zhucheng27+1346
6Shenzhen 202827+941
7Hubei Chufeng Heli26+739
8Jiangxi Liansheng26+438
9Tai'an Tiankuang26+537
10Langfang Glory City26−537
11Guangdong Mingtu27+435
12Nantong Haimen Codion26+634
13Xiamen Feilu26+133
14Dalian Yingbo B26−133
15Rizhao Yuqi27−333
16Guangzhou Dandelion27−630
17Shangyu Pterosaur26−1630
18Qingdao Red Lions26029
19Changchun Xidu26−1128
20Yichun Grand Tiger26−1026
21Chengdu Rongcheng II26−825
22Wuhan Three Towns II26−624
23BIT26−2123
24Shanghai Second27−2018

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.