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Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port II
Jiangxi Liansheng
Shanghai Port IILeague Two · SAT 17 OCT · Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Jiangxi Liansheng win at 35%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Jiangxi Liansheng 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
- 1′KICK-OFF Jiangxi Liansheng v Shanghai Port II
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Jiangxi Liansheng win 32%)
- 34′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Bai Zijian · Off: J. Huang
- 45′HALF-TIME Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Shanghai Port II · On: J. Zhang · Off: Li Ruilong
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Sun Yue · Off: Cao Enze
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Zhang Yanjun · Off: B. Luo
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Pi Ziyang · Off: G. Zhang
- 46′SECOND HALF Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Y. Ren · Jiangxi Liansheng
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
- 59′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–54–23
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Shanghai Port II · On: Juncheng Cui · Off: Zhang Huiyu
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Li Jaqi · Shanghai Port II
- 68′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Shanghai Port II · On: Cao Zhezhe · Off: Li Jaqi
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Shanghai Port II · On: Jinhong Liang · Off: Q. Yang
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: Guo Song · Off: Y. Ren
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
- 75′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–72–14
- 82′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Jiangxi Liansheng · On: He Quan · Off: Li Yan
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' J. Zhang · Shanghai Port II
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Jiangxi Liansheng win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Wang Zhaopu · Shanghai Port II
- 89′We said Jiangxi Liansheng at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Shanghai Port II · On: Z. Wang · Off: T. Liu
- FTFULL TIME Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
- FTJiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II · Jiangxi Liansheng win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Jiangxi Liansheng just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Jiangxi Liansheng 35%, draw 31%, Shanghai Port II 34%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Jiangxi Liansheng win35%
Shanghai Port II win34%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30
RoundPromotion Group · matchday 27
VenueRuichang Sports Park Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Jiangxi LianshengMIN
Shanghai Port IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Jiangxi Liansheng
Shanghai Port II
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Jiangxi Liansheng
Shanghai Port II
Last match: 12 Oct · the Chinese League Two
Last match: 11 Oct · the Chinese League Two
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Jiangxi Liansheng
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Liang
24 Li Yan
35 Y. Ren
5 Shi Jiwei
16 Chen Yunhua
21 X. Zhu
30 J. Huang
22 Li Jiahao
15 B. Luo
8 Cao Enze
4 G. Zhang
Coach · Jin-han Choi
Substitutes
12 · Li Chen
28 · Li Tianle
2 · He Quan
33 · Guo Song
14 · Zhou Jingxiang
27 · Zhang Yanjun
26 · Pi Ziyang
7 · Sun Yue
6 · G. Liu
11 · Bai Zijian
Shanghai Port II
Formation not confirmed
53 Li Zhiliang
7 Wang Yiwei
20 Xie Hongyu
30 Xu Ruixuan
51 T. Liu
16 Li Jaqi
43 Wang Zhaopu
10 Zhang Huiyu
44 Q. Yang
24 Li Ruilong
14 Li Shenglong
Coach · Cheng Yaodong
Substitutes
1 · Ren Zihao
3 · Z. Wang
48 · Li Junzhe
13 · Jiang Tianle
9 · Deming Li
57 · Jinhong Liang
58 · Cao Zhezhe
17 · Z. Peng
37 · J. Zhang
46 · Juncheng Cui
11 · Z. Li
18 · Han Yang
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Jiangxi Liansheng
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Liang
24 Li Yan
35 Y. Ren
5 Shi Jiwei
16 Chen Yunhua
21 X. Zhu
30 J. Huang
22 Li Jiahao
15 B. Luo
8 Cao Enze
4 G. Zhang
Coach · Jin-han Choi
Substitutes
12 · Li Chen
28 · Li Tianle
2 · He Quan
33 · Guo Song
14 · Zhou Jingxiang
27 · Zhang Yanjun
26 · Pi Ziyang
7 · Sun Yue
6 · G. Liu
11 · Bai Zijian
Shanghai Port II
Formation not confirmed
53 Li Zhiliang
7 Wang Yiwei
20 Xie Hongyu
30 Xu Ruixuan
51 T. Liu
16 Li Jaqi
43 Wang Zhaopu
10 Zhang Huiyu
44 Q. Yang
24 Li Ruilong
14 Li Shenglong
Coach · Cheng Yaodong
Substitutes
1 · Ren Zihao
3 · Z. Wang
48 · Li Junzhe
13 · Jiang Tianle
9 · Deming Li
57 · Jinhong Liang
58 · Cao Zhezhe
17 · Z. Peng
37 · J. Zhang
46 · Juncheng Cui
11 · Z. Li
18 · Han Yang
We make Jiangxi Liansheng a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 27%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 36%, 35% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 27% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangxi Liansheng win | 35% | 27% | +8 |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | +3 |
| Shanghai Port II win | 34% | 45% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 44% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 49% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 68% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 23% | −4 |
| Jiangxi Liansheng or draw | 66% | 55% | +11 |
| Jiangxi Liansheng clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Shanghai Port II clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League Two this season · since 15 Aug
JIANGXI LIANSHENG
SHANGHAI PORT II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xi'an Ronghai | 27 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port II | 26 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 27 | +11 | 48 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan II | 26 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 27 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 27 | +9 | 41 |
| 7 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 26 | +7 | 39 |
| 8 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 9 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 26 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 | Langfang Glory City | 26 | −5 | 37 |
| 11 | Guangdong Mingtu | 27 | +4 | 35 |
| 12 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 26 | +6 | 34 |
| 13 | Xiamen Feilu | 26 | +1 | 33 |
| 14 | Dalian Yingbo B | 26 | −1 | 33 |
| 15 | Rizhao Yuqi | 27 | −3 | 33 |
| 16 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 27 | −6 | 30 |
| 17 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 26 | −16 | 30 |
| 18 | Qingdao Red Lions | 26 | 0 | 29 |
| 19 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | −11 | 28 |
| 20 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 26 | −10 | 26 |
| 21 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 26 | −8 | 25 |
| 22 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 26 | −6 | 24 |
| 23 | BIT | 26 | −21 | 23 |
| 24 | Shanghai Second | 27 | −20 | 18 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Xi'an Ronghai
Dalian Kewei
Shandong Taishan II
Guizhou Zhucheng
Shenzhen 2028
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Tai'an Tiankuang
Langfang Glory City
Guangdong Mingtu
Nantong Haimen Codion
Xiamen Feilu
Dalian Yingbo B
Rizhao Yuqi
Guangzhou Dandelion
Shangyu Pterosaur
Qingdao Red Lions
Changchun Xidu
Yichun Grand Tiger
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Wuhan Three Towns II
BIT
Shanghai Second