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Hubei Chufeng Heli v Shanghai Second

Hubei Chufeng Heli

09:00Upcoming

Shanghai Second

League Two · SUN 25 OCT · Xinhua Road Sports Center

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hubei Chufeng HeliDrawShanghai Second

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hubei Chufeng Heli 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hubei Chufeng Heli are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hubei Chufeng Heli 49%, draw 27%, Shanghai Second 24%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Hubei Chufeng Heli v Shanghai SecondBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Hubei Chufeng Heli win49%

Draw27%

Shanghai Second win24%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 09:00

RoundRelegation Group · matchday 28

VenueXinhua Road Sports Center

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hubei Chufeng Heli

Shanghai Second

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · the Chinese League Two

Last match: 17 Oct · the Chinese League Two

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Hubei Chufeng Heli	27	+6	39
24	Shanghai Second	27	−20	18

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hubei chufeng heli winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market39%

Us49%

~~Market~~39%

We make Hubei Chufeng Heli a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hubei Chufeng Heli v Shanghai Second~~1.61 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in League Two this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 39 v 18~~9 v 24

~~The market · Hubei Chufeng Heli win~~39% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hubei Chufeng Heli win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hubei Chufeng Heli win	49%	39%	+10
Draw	27%	30%	−3
Shanghai Second win	24%	32%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	49%	41%	+8
Both teams to score	52%	48%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	75%	66%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	28%	22%	+6
Hubei Chufeng Heli or draw	76%	68%	+8
Hubei Chufeng Heli clean sheet	36%	–	–
Shanghai Second clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 8.4 6.5 3.9 1 10.4 12.6 6.0 2.2 2 9.0 9.2 4.8 3 4.9 5.0 2.6 4 2.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hubei Chufeng Heli down, Shanghai Second across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,282 League Two matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League Two matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 331 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hubei Chufeng Heli at home: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Shanghai Second away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Hubei Chufeng Heli, 1.05 for Shanghai Second. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SHA 0–0 HUB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League Two this season · since 22 Aug

HUBEI CHUFENG HELI

WLDWDL1–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

SHANGHAI SECOND

DLDDLD2–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Shanghai Port II	28	+19	50
2	Xi'an Ronghai	28	+13	50
3	Guizhou Zhucheng	28	+14	49
4	Dalian Kewei	27	+11	48
5	Shandong Taishan II	27	+13	47
6	Shenzhen 2028	27	+9	41
7	Langfang Glory City	28	−4	41
8	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	+5	40
9	Hubei Chufeng Heli	27	+6	39
10	Dalian Yingbo B	28	+4	39
11	Jiangxi Liansheng	27	+4	39
12	Nantong Haimen Codion	27	+8	37
13	Xiamen Feilu	28	+4	37
14	Guangdong Mingtu	27	+4	35
15	Rizhao Yuqi	28	−3	34
16	Qingdao Red Lions	28	−2	32
17	Changchun Xidu	27	−10	31
18	Shangyu Pterosaur	28	−17	31
19	Guangzhou Dandelion	28	−7	30
20	Wuhan Three Towns II	27	−4	27
21	Yichun Grand Tiger	28	−14	27
22	Chengdu Rongcheng II	28	−12	25
23	BIT	28	−21	25
24	Shanghai Second	27	−20	18