Guangzhou Dandelion v Dalian Yingbo B

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guangzhou Dandelion win at 35%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Guangzhou Dandelion was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 34% now. 0–0 · 34–32–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Guangzhou Dandelion v Dalian Yingbo B
4. 17′16′: L. Jincheng on the scoresheet for Dalian Yingbo B, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–21–67
5. 17′We said Guangzhou Dandelion at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–21–67
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1 Dalian Yingbo B · L. Jincheng
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Guangzhou Dandelion win: 35% at kick-off, 12% now
8. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Dalian Yingbo B win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Guangzhou Dandelion win 34%)
9. 30′We said Guangzhou Dandelion at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–21–69
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 9–21–69
11. 45′HALF-TIME Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1 Dalian Yingbo B
12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Guangzhou Dandelion · On: Y. Bian · Off: Li Haoyu
13. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dalian Yingbo B · On: Hu Mingyu · Off: Obuqasym Muzapar
14. 46′SECOND HALF Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1 Dalian Yingbo B
15. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Hu Mingyu · Dalian Yingbo B
16. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Guangzhou Dandelion win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
17. 52′Guangzhou Dandelion level it on 52′ through Zhang Hao. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–50–25
18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Guangzhou Dandelion 1–1 Dalian Yingbo B · Zhang Hao
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Guangzhou Dandelion win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
20. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Dalian Yingbo B win 75%)
21. 57′We said Guangzhou Dandelion at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–54–23
22. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dalian Yingbo B · On: Y. Zhu · Off: T. Memet
23. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Guangzhou Dandelion · On: R. Shohret · Off: J. Lu
24. 66′We said Guangzhou Dandelion at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–62–19
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Guangzhou Dandelion · On: Liu Xiangchen · Off: K. Gao
26. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Dalian Yingbo B · On: Wang Zhenghao · Off: L. Jincheng
27. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Fan Ruiwei · Guangzhou Dandelion
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Guangzhou Dandelion win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
29. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Guangzhou Dandelion · On: Chen Weiqi · Off: Zhang Hao
30. 82′K. Jing scores for Dalian Yingbo B on 82′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–8–92
31. 82′We said Guangzhou Dandelion at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–8–92
32. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Guangzhou Dandelion 1–2 Dalian Yingbo B · K. Jing
33. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Guangzhou Dandelion win: 35% at kick-off, under 1% now
34. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Dalian Yingbo B win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 82%)
35. 83′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–7–93
36. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Dalian Yingbo B · On: Wu Xinze · Off: Ibrahim Imran
37. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Guangzhou Dandelion · On: Murathan Ares · Off: Fan Ruiwei
38. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Dalian Yingbo B · On: A. Abdurehim · Off: J. Zeng
39. FTFULL TIME Guangzhou Dandelion 1–2 Dalian Yingbo B
40. FTGuangzhou Dandelion 1–2 Dalian Yingbo B · Guangzhou Dandelion win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.