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Chengdu Rongcheng II v Nantong Haimen Codion
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Nantong Haimen CodionLeague Two · SUN 18 OCT · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Nantong Haimen Codion win at 36%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Nantong Haimen Codion 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 34–30–36
- 1′KICK-OFF Chengdu Rongcheng II v Nantong Haimen Codion
- 15′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 13–20–67
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Chengdu Rongcheng II 0–1 Nantong Haimen Codion
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Nantong Haimen Codion win: 36% at kick-off, 67% now
- 16′15′: Chen Weijing on the scoresheet for Nantong Haimen Codion, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–20–67
- 18′Nantong Haimen Codion ahead on 18′ through Wang Bowen. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 18′Nantong Haimen Codion ahead on 17′ through Wang Bowen. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Chengdu Rongcheng II 0–2 Nantong Haimen Codion · Wang Bowen
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Nantong Haimen Codion win: 36% at kick-off, 88% now
- 19′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 0–2 · 3–9–88
- 25′Li Moyu scores for Chengdu Rongcheng II on 25′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 11–21–68
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–2 Nantong Haimen Codion · Li Moyu (penalty)
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Nantong Haimen Codion win: 36% at kick-off, 68% now
- 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 10–21–69
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Liu Zhetao · Chengdu Rongcheng II
- 34′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–2 · 9–21–70
- 37′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 37′37′: Wang Bowen on the scoresheet for Nantong Haimen Codion, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 37′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Nantong Haimen Codion win: 36% at kick-off, 91% now
- 41′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Chengdu Rongcheng II · On: Yi Yuchong · Off: Huang Zhenghan
- 45′HALF-TIME Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
- 45′SECOND HALF Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Li Wenle · Chengdu Rongcheng II
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Qin Wanzhun · Chengdu Rongcheng II
- 54′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–3 · 1–5–95
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Nantong Haimen Codion win: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Wang Bowen · Nantong Haimen Codion
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Nantong Haimen Codion · On: Cao Yuetao · Off: Yan Ge
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Nantong Haimen Codion · On: Pei Guoguang · Off: Wang Bowen
- 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Wang Yueheng · Chengdu Rongcheng II
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Cao Yuetao · Nantong Haimen Codion
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Chengdu Rongcheng II · On: Yao Zixuan · Off: Zhang Zili
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Chengdu Rongcheng II · On: Zhang Kongzhi · Off: Liu Zhetao
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Nantong Haimen Codion · On: Xu Yuese · Off: Cheng Xin
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Nantong Haimen Codion · On: Ding Jianhua · Off: Zheng Lei
- 82′We said Nantong Haimen Codion at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Chengdu Rongcheng II · On: Chen Siliang · Off: S. Luo
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Chengdu Rongcheng II · On: Du Yijinwu · Off: Qin Wanzhun
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Nantong Haimen Codion · On: Sun Qinan · Off: Cheng Yi
- FTFULL TIME Chengdu Rongcheng II 1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion
- FTChengdu Rongcheng II 1–3 Nantong Haimen Codion · Nantong Haimen Codion win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Nantong Haimen Codion just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng II 34%, draw 30%, Nantong Haimen Codion 36%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Chengdu Rongcheng II win34%
Nantong Haimen Codion win36%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:35
RoundRelegation Group · matchday 27
VenueChengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Match timeline
All events
Chengdu Rongcheng IIMIN
Nantong Haimen CodionEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Nantong Haimen Codion
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Nantong Haimen Codion
Last match: 13 Oct · the Chinese League Two
Last match: 11 Oct · the Chinese League Two
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Formation not confirmed
55 Peng Haochen
31 Qin Wanzhun
42 J. Xiong
15 Liu Zhetao
27 Wang Yueheng
23 Li Wenle
7 Zhang Zili
45 Qeyser Ezimet
44 S. Luo
38 Huang Zhenghan
48 Li Moyu
Coach · Yi Fan
Substitutes
60 · Tang Zicheng
53 · Chen Siliang
37 · Du Yijinwu
16 · Yao Younan
29 · Yao Zixuan
54 · H. Linfei
43 · Zhang Kongzhi
46 · Wu Jiayi
11 · Chen Xiaohan
41 · Huang Junjie
56 · Yi Yuchong
34 · J. Yang
Nantong Haimen Codion
Formation not confirmed
22 Xie Gongbo
46 Xu Kunxing
23 Yu Hang
17 Bai Xianyi
54 Wang Yubo
53 Cheng Yi
21 Chen Weijing
19 Zheng Lei
8 Cheng Xin
16 Wang Bowen
9 Yan Ge
Coach · Baoan Cui
Substitutes
14 · Zhang Zixuan
11 · Pei Guoguang
27 · Luo Gaoju
39 · Cao Yuetao
12 · Sun Qinan
41 · Ding Jianhua
47 · Cai Wenxuan
7 · Xu Yuese
42 · Wu Yucheng
51 · Zhou Xianfeng
57 · Fan Yucheng
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Formation not confirmed
55 Peng Haochen
31 Qin Wanzhun
42 J. Xiong
15 Liu Zhetao
27 Wang Yueheng
23 Li Wenle
7 Zhang Zili
45 Qeyser Ezimet
44 S. Luo
38 Huang Zhenghan
48 Li Moyu
Coach · Yi Fan
Substitutes
60 · Tang Zicheng
53 · Chen Siliang
37 · Du Yijinwu
16 · Yao Younan
29 · Yao Zixuan
54 · H. Linfei
43 · Zhang Kongzhi
46 · Wu Jiayi
11 · Chen Xiaohan
41 · Huang Junjie
56 · Yi Yuchong
34 · J. Yang
Nantong Haimen Codion
Formation not confirmed
22 Xie Gongbo
46 Xu Kunxing
23 Yu Hang
17 Bai Xianyi
54 Wang Yubo
53 Cheng Yi
21 Chen Weijing
19 Zheng Lei
8 Cheng Xin
16 Wang Bowen
9 Yan Ge
Coach · Baoan Cui
Substitutes
14 · Zhang Zixuan
11 · Pei Guoguang
27 · Luo Gaoju
39 · Cao Yuetao
12 · Sun Qinan
41 · Ding Jianhua
47 · Cai Wenxuan
7 · Xu Yuese
42 · Wu Yucheng
51 · Zhou Xianfeng
57 · Fan Yucheng
We make Nantong Haimen Codion a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Rongcheng II win | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Nantong Haimen Codion win | 36% | 40% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 40% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 47% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 65% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II or draw | 64% | 60% | +4 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Nantong Haimen Codion clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League Two this season · since 16 Aug
CHENGDU RONGCHENG II
NANTONG HAIMEN CODION
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port II | 27 | +20 | 50 |
| 2 | Xi'an Ronghai | 27 | +14 | 50 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 27 | +11 | 48 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan II | 27 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 27 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 27 | +9 | 41 |
| 7 | Hubei Chufeng Heli | 27 | +6 | 39 |
| 8 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 27 | +4 | 39 |
| 9 | Langfang Glory City | 27 | −5 | 38 |
| 10 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 27 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 | Dalian Yingbo B | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 27 | +4 | 35 |
| 13 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 26 | +6 | 34 |
| 14 | Xiamen Feilu | 26 | +1 | 33 |
| 15 | Rizhao Yuqi | 27 | −3 | 33 |
| 16 | Changchun Xidu | 27 | −10 | 31 |
| 17 | Shangyu Pterosaur | 27 | −16 | 31 |
| 18 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 27 | −6 | 30 |
| 19 | Qingdao Red Lions | 26 | 0 | 29 |
| 20 | Wuhan Three Towns II | 27 | −4 | 27 |
| 21 | Yichun Grand Tiger | 27 | −14 | 26 |
| 22 | Chengdu Rongcheng II | 26 | −8 | 25 |
| 23 | BIT | 27 | −21 | 24 |
| 24 | Shanghai Second | 27 | −20 | 18 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Shanghai Port II
Xi'an Ronghai
Dalian Kewei
Shandong Taishan II
Guizhou Zhucheng
Shenzhen 2028
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Jiangxi Liansheng
Langfang Glory City
Tai'an Tiankuang
Dalian Yingbo B
Guangdong Mingtu
Xiamen Feilu
Rizhao Yuqi
Changchun Xidu
Shangyu Pterosaur
Guangzhou Dandelion
Qingdao Red Lions
Wuhan Three Towns II
Yichun Grand Tiger
BIT
Shanghai Second