Shenzhen Juniors v Dalian Huayi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shenzhen Juniors win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Shenzhen Juniors was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Shenzhen Juniors v Dalian Huayi
4. 8′Rodrigo Henrique scores for Shenzhen Juniors on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
5. 8′Rodrigo Henrique scores for Shenzhen Juniors on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
6. 8′We published Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–17–12
7. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Shenzhen Juniors 1–0 Dalian Huayi · Rodrigo Henrique
8. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 71% now
9. 20′20′: N. Mushekwi on the scoresheet for Dalian Huayi, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–29–28
10. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 Dalian Huayi · N. Mushekwi
11. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 42% now
12. 41′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Shenzhen Juniors · On: Leung Nok-Hang · Off: R. Dugalic
13. 45′HALF-TIME Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 Dalian Huayi
14. 46′SECOND HALF Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 Dalian Huayi
15. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
16. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Shenzhen Juniors win 35%)
17. 50′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 35–40–25
18. 54′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
19. 62′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–21
20. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Dalian Huayi · On: Xu Dongdong · Off: Lu Kun
21. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Shiming Liu · Dalian Huayi
22. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
23. 70′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
24. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Shenzhen Juniors · On: K. Huang · Off: Su Yuliang
25. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Shenzhen Juniors · On: Gan Xianhao · Off: Shi Yucheng
26. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Dalian Huayi · On: Lei Wenjie · Off: K. Hansen
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Dalian Huayi · On: Cui Ming'an · Off: Y. Wu
28. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' N. Mushekwi · Dalian Huayi
29. 76′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
30. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Shenzhen Juniors · On: G. Zhu · Off: Liu Xiaolong
31. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Shenzhen Juniors · On: Zhao Yingjie · Off: Zhong Haoran
32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
33. 81′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–76–10
34. 85′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dalian Huayi · On: Zhang Hongjiang · Off: Eysajan Elkut
36. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Dalian Huayi · On: You Sihan · Off: C. Bayala
37. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Shenzhen Juniors win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
38. 91′We said Shenzhen Juniors at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
39. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Zhang Hongjiang · Dalian Huayi
40. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Lei Wenjie · Dalian Huayi
41. FTFULL TIME Shenzhen Juniors 1–1 Dalian Huayi
42. FTShenzhen Juniors 1–1 Dalian Huayi · Shenzhen Juniors win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.