Home › Football › League One › Ningbo Professional v Suzhou Dongwu
Back

Ningbo Professional v Suzhou Dongwu
Ningbo Professional
Suzhou DongwuLeague One · SAT 17 OCT · Ningbo Cixi Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Ningbo Professional win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Ningbo Professional 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–32–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Ningbo Professional v Suzhou Dongwu
- 7′Suzhou Dongwu ahead on 7′ through Arafat Ghenifa. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–22–62
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Ningbo Professional 0–1 Suzhou Dongwu · Arafat Ghenifa
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Ningbo Professional win: 39% at kick-off, 16% now
- 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Suzhou Dongwu win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Ningbo Professional win 16%)
- 8′We said Ningbo Professional at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–22–62
- 14′We said Ningbo Professional at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 11–23–66
- 36′SUBSTITUTION · 36' Ningbo Professional · On: K. Shang · Off: Liu Yue
- 38′We said Ningbo Professional at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Ningbo Professional win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Ningbo Professional 0–1 Suzhou Dongwu
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Ningbo Professional · On: K. Pang · Off: J. Yao
- 46′SECOND HALF Ningbo Professional 0–1 Suzhou Dongwu
- 53′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Suzhou Dongwu · On: M. Ali · Off: Wu Junjie
- 60′We said Ningbo Professional at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
- 61′Yao Diran scores for Ningbo Professional on 60′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–57–19
- 61′We said Ningbo Professional at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–57–19
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Ningbo Professional 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu · Yao Diran (assist Liu Yang)
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Ningbo Professional win: 39% at kick-off, 24% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Suzhou Dongwu win 19%)
- 62′Yao Diran scores for Ningbo Professional on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–58–19
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Ningbo Professional win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' O. Bugiel · Suzhou Dongwu
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Bai Jiajun · Ningbo Professional
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Yao Diran · Ningbo Professional
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Suzhou Dongwu · On: M. Mijit · Off: Liu Jiqiang
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ningbo Professional · On: Leo Cittadini · Off: S. Tomovic
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Ningbo Professional · On: Lin Wenkai · Off: Zhou Junchen
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Suzhou Dongwu · On: B. Wang · Off: Arafat Ghenifa
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Suzhou Dongwu · On: Z. Yu · Off: Chen Rong
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Suzhou Dongwu · On: Zhang Jiansheng · Off: O. Bugiel
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Ningbo Professional · On: Zhou Junhao · Off: Bai Jiajun
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Ningbo Professional win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- FTFULL TIME Ningbo Professional 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu
- FTNingbo Professional 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu · Ningbo Professional win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNingbo Professional are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ningbo Professional 39%, draw 32%, Suzhou Dongwu 29%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Ningbo Professional win39%
Suzhou Dongwu win29%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 27
VenueNingbo Cixi Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Ningbo ProfessionalMIN
Suzhou DongwuEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Ningbo Professional
Suzhou Dongwu
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ningbo Professional
Suzhou Dongwu
Last match: 11 Oct · the Chinese League One
Last match: 10 Oct · the Chinese League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Ningbo Professional
Formation not confirmed
1 Lin Xiang
5 Yao Diran
30 Liu Yang
23 Bai Jiajun
11 Liu Yue
19 Gao Haisheng
28 Zhang Lingfeng
17 Zhou Junchen
42 J. Yao
10 Leonardo
45 S. Tomovic
Coach · –
Substitutes
38 · X. Chen
22 · Wang Qinghua
2 · K. Shang
34 · Z. Li
4 · Y. Zou
8 · Leo Cittadini
25 · Qu Geping
41 · Y. Xiao
9 · Men Yang
36 · Zhou Junhao
21 · Lin Wenkai
7 · K. Pang
Suzhou Dongwu
Formation not confirmed
37 Askhan
18 Tai Jianfeng
33 Liu Jiqiang
15 Jin Qiang
20 Chen Rong
42 Arafat Ghenifa
16 S. Zhao
6 Estrela
7 Farley Rosa
14 O. Bugiel
19 Wu Junjie
Coach · Hui Guo
Substitutes
1 · Liu Yu
27 · Lei Zhibo
2 · Song Bowei
45 · M. Mijit
5 · Wang Yulong
39 · Tian Jiahao
9 · M. Ali
17 · Wang Jiancong
24 · Zhang Jiansheng
25 · Z. Yu
26 · B. Wang
30 · He Haohan
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Ningbo Professional
Formation not confirmed
1 Lin Xiang
5 Yao Diran
30 Liu Yang
23 Bai Jiajun
11 Liu Yue
19 Gao Haisheng
28 Zhang Lingfeng
17 Zhou Junchen
42 J. Yao
10 Leonardo
45 S. Tomovic
Coach · –
Substitutes
38 · X. Chen
22 · Wang Qinghua
2 · K. Shang
34 · Z. Li
4 · Y. Zou
8 · Leo Cittadini
25 · Qu Geping
41 · Y. Xiao
9 · Men Yang
36 · Zhou Junhao
21 · Lin Wenkai
7 · K. Pang
Suzhou Dongwu
Formation not confirmed
37 Askhan
18 Tai Jianfeng
33 Liu Jiqiang
15 Jin Qiang
20 Chen Rong
42 Arafat Ghenifa
16 S. Zhao
6 Estrela
7 Farley Rosa
14 O. Bugiel
19 Wu Junjie
Coach · Hui Guo
Substitutes
1 · Liu Yu
27 · Lei Zhibo
2 · Song Bowei
45 · M. Mijit
5 · Wang Yulong
39 · Tian Jiahao
9 · M. Ali
17 · Wang Jiancong
24 · Zhang Jiansheng
25 · Z. Yu
26 · B. Wang
30 · He Haohan
We make Ningbo Professional a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Professional win | 39% | 32% | +7 |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 0 |
| Suzhou Dongwu win | 29% | 36% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 48% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 21% | −5 |
| Ningbo Professional or draw | 71% | 64% | +7 |
| Ningbo Professional clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Suzhou Dongwu clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 29 Aug
NINGBO PROFESSIONAL
SUZHOU DONGWU
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 26 | +33 | 60 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 26 | +15 | 48 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 26 | +13 | 46 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 26 | +11 | 45 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 26 | +19 | 42 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 26 | +1 | 37 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | −3 | 31 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 26 | −4 | 30 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 26 | −7 | 30 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 26 | −8 | 27 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 26 | −13 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 26 | −16 | 22 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 26 | −28 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 27 | −33 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Guangzhou E-Power
Nantong Zhiyun
Guangxi Hengchen
Shenzhen Juniors
Shaanxi Union
Yanbian Longding
Hebei Kungfu
Wuxi Wugou
Changchun Yatai
Dalian Huayi
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Nanjing City
Meizhou Kejia
Dongguan United