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Hebei Kungfu v Ningbo Professional
Hebei Kungfu
Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One · SAT 24 OCT · Yutong International Sports Center
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hebei Kungfu win at 41%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Hebei Kungfu was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–34–25
- 1′KICK-OFF Hebei Kungfu v Ningbo Professional
- 4′🟨 YELLOW · 4' H. Vidal · Hebei Kungfu
- 6′C. Zhao scores for Hebei Kungfu on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 6′We published Hebei Kungfu at 41%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Hebei Kungfu 1–0 Ningbo Professional · C. Zhao
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Hebei Kungfu win: 41% at kick-off, 75% now
- 15′15′: Guo Lingzi on the scoresheet for Hebei Kungfu, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Hebei Kungfu 2–0 Ningbo Professional · Guo Lingzi
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Hebei Kungfu win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
- 16′We published Hebei Kungfu at 41%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–1
- 24′Hebei Kungfu ahead on 24′ through Guo Lingzi. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Hebei Kungfu 3–0 Ningbo Professional · Guo Lingzi
- 25′We published Hebei Kungfu at 41%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.8 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 34′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Ningbo Professional · On: Zhou Junhao · Off: K. Pang
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Yao Diran · Ningbo Professional
- 35′SUBSTITUTION · 34' Ningbo Professional · On: Bai Jiajun · Off: K. Shang
- 35′SUBSTITUTION · 35' Ningbo Professional · On: Zhou Junchen · Off: Zhang Lingfeng
- 44′We published Hebei Kungfu at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 45′HALF-TIME Hebei Kungfu 3–0 Ningbo Professional
- 46′SECOND HALF Hebei Kungfu 3–0 Ningbo Professional
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Ningbo Professional · On: Men Yang · Off: Leo Cittadini
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Hebei Kungfu · On: Ma Junliang · Off: H. Vidal
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Hebei Kungfu · On: B. Liu · Off: Guo Lingzi
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hebei Kungfu · On: I. Kurban · Off: Yang Yun
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hebei Kungfu · On: Zhou Wenhao · Off: C. Zhao
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ningbo Professional · On: Lin Wenkai · Off: S. Tomovic
- 78′Yao Diran scores for Ningbo Professional on 78′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 78′4 goals already, more than the 1.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Hebei Kungfu 3–1 Ningbo Professional · Yao Diran
- 83′Lin Wenkai scores for Ningbo Professional on 77′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 88′87′: Lin Wenkai on the scoresheet for Ningbo Professional, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 97–3–0
- 88′That is 5, and we only asked for 1.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 97–3–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Hebei Kungfu 3–2 Ningbo Professional · Lin Wenkai (assist Leonardo)
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Hebei Kungfu · On: X. Jiayi · Off: Du Zhixuan
- FTFULL TIME Hebei Kungfu 3–2 Ningbo Professional
- FTHebei Kungfu 3–2 Ningbo Professional · Hebei Kungfu win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Hebei Kungfu are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hebei Kungfu 41%, draw 34%, Ningbo Professional 25%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 36%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Hebei Kungfu win41%
Ningbo Professional win25%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30
RoundMatchday 28
VenueYutong International Sports Center
Match timeline
All events
Hebei KungfuMIN
Ningbo ProfessionalEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hebei Kungfu
Ningbo Professional
Last match: 18 Oct · the Chinese League One
Last match: 17 Oct · the Chinese League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hebei Kungfu a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hebei Kungfu win | 41% | 41% | 0 |
| Draw | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Ningbo Professional win | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 38% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 36% | 44% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 62% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 20% | −8 |
| Hebei Kungfu or draw | 75% | 72% | +3 |
| Hebei Kungfu clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Ningbo Professional clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 6 Sept
HEBEI KUNGFU
NINGBO PROFESSIONAL
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 27 | +29 | 60 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 28 | +12 | 47 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | +11 | 46 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | +23 | 45 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 27 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 27 | +8 | 36 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Dalian Huayi | 28 | −6 | 34 |
| 11 | Ningbo Professional | 27 | −4 | 31 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | −8 | 28 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 27 | −11 | 27 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 27 | −15 | 25 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 28 | −32 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 27 | −33 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Guangzhou E-Power
Nantong Zhiyun
Guangxi Hengchen
Shenzhen Juniors
Shaanxi Union
Yanbian Longding
Wuxi Wugou
Changchun Yatai
Dalian Huayi
Suzhou Dongwu
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Nanjing City
Meizhou Kejia
Dongguan United