Provincial Ovalle v General Velásquez

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Provincial Ovalle win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Provincial Ovalle was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–28–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Provincial Ovalle v General Velásquez
4. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Provincial Ovalle
5. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Provincial Ovalle win 34%)
6. 39′Provincial Ovalle find the net on 39′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–21–7
7. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Provincial Ovalle 1–0 General Velásquez
8. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Provincial Ovalle win: 38% at kick-off, 71% now
9. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Provincial Ovalle win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 40%)
10. 40′We published Provincial Ovalle at 38%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–21–7
11. 41′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 72–21–7
12. 45′HALF-TIME Provincial Ovalle 1–0 General Velásquez
13. 46′SECOND HALF Provincial Ovalle 1–0 General Velásquez
14. 48′A goal for General Velásquez on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–46–26
15. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Provincial Ovalle 1–1 General Velásquez
16. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Provincial Ovalle win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
17. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Provincial Ovalle win 74%)
18. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Provincial Ovalle win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
19. 53′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–49–25
20. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Provincial Ovalle
21. 59′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
22. 69′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Provincial Ovalle win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
24. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' General Velásquez · On: J. Alegria · Off: J. Muza
25. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' General Velásquez · On: E. Riquelme · Off: J. Lorca
26. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Provincial Ovalle · On: J. Soto · Off: C. Matamala
27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Provincial Ovalle · On: N. Julio · Off: L. Maluenda
28. 76′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–13
29. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' General Velásquez
30. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' General Velásquez
31. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Provincial Ovalle · On: B. Castro · Off: B. Cortes
32. 82′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
33. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' General Velásquez
34. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Provincial Ovalle win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
35. 85′General Velásquez score on 85′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–6–94
36. 85′We said Provincial Ovalle at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–6–94
37. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Provincial Ovalle 1–2 General Velásquez
38. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' General Velásquez win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 87%)
39. 86′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–6–94
40. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 82' General Velásquez · On: L. Vargas · Off: M. Villablanca
41. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' General Velásquez · On: F. Sepulveda Riveros · Off: B. Pinto
42. FTFULL TIME Provincial Ovalle 1–2 General Velásquez
43. FTProvincial Ovalle 1–2 General Velásquez · Provincial Ovalle win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.