General Velásquez v Deportes Rengo prediction · Segunda División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

General VelásquezDrawDeportes Rengo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · General Velásquez 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

General Velásquez are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: General Velásquez 45%, draw 24%, Deportes Rengo 31%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on General Velásquez v Deportes RengoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

General Velásquez win45%

Draw24%

Deportes Rengo win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:00

RoundRelegation Group · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

General Velásquez

Deportes Rengo

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Chilean Segunda División

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	General Velásquez	12	−4	16
12	Deportes Rengo	12	−7	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · general velásquez winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make General Velásquez a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · General Velásquez v Deportes Rengo~~1.50 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 16 v 11~~8 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
General Velásquez win	45%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Deportes Rengo win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
General Velásquez or draw	69%	–	–
General Velásquez clean sheet	31%	–	–
Deportes Rengo clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.5 8.7 4.8 1 10.9 11.3 7.0 2.8 2 7.6 8.8 5.2 2.1 3 3.9 4.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+General Velásquez down, Deportes Rengo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 923 Segunda División matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games this season, across 138 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

General Velásquez at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Deportes Rengo away: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for General Velásquez, 1.19 for Deportes Rengo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~DEP 1–1 GEN · GEN 2–0 DEP · DEP 3–1 GEN · DEP 1–1 GEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 22 Aug

GENERAL VELÁSQUEZ

DDDLLW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 2–1

DEPORTES RENGO

DWDWWL1–1 · 5–2 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 1–5

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Provincial Osorno	12	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	−1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	−4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	−1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	−2	13
11	Colina	12	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	−7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	−5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	−13	6