Union Espanola v Santiago Wanderers

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Union Espanola win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Union Espanola was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Union Espanola v Santiago Wanderers
4. 4′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–21–61
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Union Espanola 0–1 Santiago Wanderers
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Union Espanola win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
7. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Santiago Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Union Espanola win 39%)
8. 6′A goal for Santiago Wanderers on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–21–62
9. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Union Espanola
10. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Santiago Wanderers
11. 21′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–63
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 12–23–65
13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Union Espanola win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
14. 44′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
15. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Union Espanola 1–1 Santiago Wanderers
16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Union Espanola win: 39% at kick-off, 32% now
17. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Santiago Wanderers win 68%)
18. 45′SECOND HALF Union Espanola 1–1 Santiago Wanderers
19. 46′Union Espanola score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 31–42–27
20. 48′HALF-TIME Union Espanola 1–1 Santiago Wanderers
21. 57′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–49–24
22. 63′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
23. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Santiago Wanderers
24. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Union Espanola
25. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Union Espanola
26. 68′PENALTY MISSED · 68' Santiago Wanderers
27. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Union Espanola win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Santiago Wanderers · On: D. San Martin · Off: V. Vera
29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Santiago Wanderers · On: D. Portilla · Off: L. Navarro
30. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Union Espanola · On: R. Cordero · Off: M. Celis
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Union Espanola · On: A. Vilches Araneda · Off: F. Ratotti
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Union Espanola win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Santiago Wanderers · On: J. Luna · Off: I. Flores
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Santiago Wanderers · On: L. Avendano · Off: C. Ponce
35. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Santiago Wanderers · On: C. Silva · Off: C. Villarroel
36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Union Espanola · On: I. Nunez · Off: A. Araos
37. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Union Espanola · On: C. A. Chadwick Bosco · Off: P. Aranguiz
38. 90′We said Union Espanola at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
39. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Santiago Wanderers
40. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Union Espanola
41. 94′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–1–99
42. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Union Espanola 1–2 Santiago Wanderers
43. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Santiago Wanderers win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
44. 96′Santiago Wanderers find the net on 90′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
45. 97′Full time, 1–2. We called Union Espanola at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–2 · 0–0–100
46. FTFULL TIME Union Espanola 1–2 Santiago Wanderers
47. FTUnion Espanola 1–2 Santiago Wanderers · Union Espanola win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.