

Santiago Wanderers v Rangers de Talca
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Santiago Wanderers win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Santiago Wanderers 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Santiago Wanderers v Rangers de Talca
- 27′A goal for Santiago Wanderers on 27′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Santiago Wanderers 1–0 Rangers de Talca
- 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Santiago Wanderers win: 53% at kick-off, 78% now
- 28′We said Santiago Wanderers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–6
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Santiago Wanderers
- 36′Santiago Wanderers score on 36′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Santiago Wanderers 2–0 Rangers de Talca
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Santiago Wanderers win: 53% at kick-off, 95% now
- 37′We said Santiago Wanderers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Santiago Wanderers 2–0 Rangers de Talca
- 46′SECOND HALF Santiago Wanderers 2–0 Rangers de Talca
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Santiago Wanderers · On: C. Villarroel · Off: J. Silva
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Santiago Wanderers
- 57′Rangers de Talca find the net on 57′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 57′We said Santiago Wanderers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Santiago Wanderers 2–1 Rangers de Talca
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Santiago Wanderers win: 53% at kick-off, 82% now
- 58′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 59′A goal for Santiago Wanderers on 59′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Santiago Wanderers 3–1 Rangers de Talca
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Santiago Wanderers win: 53% at kick-off, 97% now
- 60′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–2–0
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Rangers de Talca · On: P. Mora · Off: D. Gonzalez
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Rangers de Talca
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Santiago Wanderers · On: J. Luna · Off: L. Navarro
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Santiago Wanderers · On: M. Villarroel · Off: C. Ponce
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Santiago Wanderers · On: D. San Martin · Off: V. Vera
- 79′Santiago Wanderers score on 79′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Rangers de Talca · On: J. E. Mendez Gonzalez · Off: A. Rodriguez
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Santiago Wanderers 4–1 Rangers de Talca
- 80′We said Santiago Wanderers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 81′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Rangers de Talca · On: S. Acuna · Off: K. Vasquez
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Rangers de Talca · On: D. Plaza · Off: A. Marquez
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Rangers de Talca · On: C. Munoz · Off: J. Arias
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Santiago Wanderers · On: C. Silva · Off: I. Flores
- 94′Santiago Wanderers find the net on 90′. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Santiago Wanderers 5–1 Rangers de Talca
- 95′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 96′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' C. Silva · Santiago Wanderers
- FTFULL TIME Santiago Wanderers 4–1 Rangers de Talca
- FTSantiago Wanderers 4–1 Rangers de Talca · Santiago Wanderers win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSantiago Wanderers are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Santiago Wanderers 53%, draw 26%, Rangers de Talca 21%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Santiago Wanderers win53%
Rangers de Talca win21%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 22:00
RoundMatchday 28
Match timeline
All events
Santiago WanderersMIN
Rangers de TalcaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca
Last match: 10 Oct · the Chilean Primera B
Last match: 12 Oct · the Chilean Primera B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Santiago Wanderers
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Miranda
7 A. Herrera
31 C. Valenzuela
18 S. Felipe
16 P. Navarro
8 J. Silva
5 L. Navarro
14 C. Ponce
27 V. Vera
23 I. Flores
32 V. Vargas
Coach · Francisco Palladino
Substitutes
29 · C. Silva
36 · B. Martinez
10 · J. Luna
15 · M. Villarroel
19 · C. Villarroel
37 · D. San Martin
38 · D. Portilla
Rangers de Talca
Formation not confirmed
25 F. Cerda
3 K. Vasquez
27 C. Servetti
16 L. Rigazzi
24 T. Gomez
18 A. Rodriguez
8 A. Marquez
7 I. Ibanez
19 D. Gonzalez
39 I. S. Mesias Gonzalez
9 J. Arias
Coach · Jaime Vera
Substitutes
17 · C. Campestrini
14 · S. Acuna
21 · P. Mora
22 · D. Plaza
23 · J. E. Mendez Gonzalez
11 · M. Vicuna
31 · C. Munoz
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Santiago Wanderers
Formation not confirmed
1 E. Miranda
7 A. Herrera
31 C. Valenzuela
18 S. Felipe
16 P. Navarro
8 J. Silva
5 L. Navarro
14 C. Ponce
27 V. Vera
23 I. Flores
32 V. Vargas
Coach · Francisco Palladino
Substitutes
29 · C. Silva
36 · B. Martinez
10 · J. Luna
15 · M. Villarroel
19 · C. Villarroel
37 · D. San Martin
38 · D. Portilla
Rangers de Talca
Formation not confirmed
25 F. Cerda
3 K. Vasquez
27 C. Servetti
16 L. Rigazzi
24 T. Gomez
18 A. Rodriguez
8 A. Marquez
7 I. Ibanez
19 D. Gonzalez
39 I. S. Mesias Gonzalez
9 J. Arias
Coach · Jaime Vera
Substitutes
17 · C. Campestrini
14 · S. Acuna
21 · P. Mora
22 · D. Plaza
23 · J. E. Mendez Gonzalez
11 · M. Vicuna
31 · C. Munoz
We make Santiago Wanderers a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers win | 53% | 41% | +12 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Rangers de Talca win | 21% | 31% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 47% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Santiago Wanderers or draw | 79% | 69% | +10 |
| Santiago Wanderers clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Rangers de Talca clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera B this season · since 29 Aug
SANTIAGO WANDERERS
RANGERS DE TALCA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis | 27 | +13 | 50 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 27 | +16 | 48 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | +5 | 46 |
| 4 | Antofagasta | 27 | +21 | 44 |
| 5 | Santiago Wanderers | 27 | +12 | 44 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 27 | +2 | 40 |
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 27 | +6 | 39 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 27 | −3 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | +5 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 27 | +6 | 34 |
| 12 | D. Puerto Montt | 27 | −9 | 34 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | −16 | 30 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | −14 | 22 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 27 | −32 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 27 | −15 | 21 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
San Luis
Cobreloa
Magallanes
Antofagasta
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
Deportes Temuco
Deportes Iquique
D. Puerto Montt
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe