

Rangers de Talca v Cobreloa
Rangers de Talca
CobreloaPrimera B · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Fiscal de Talca
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cobreloa win at 39%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Rangers de Talca v Cobreloa
- 2′Much as we predicted: Cobreloa was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 34–28–39
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Rangers de Talca
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Cobreloa
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Cobreloa
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Rangers de Talca
- 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Rangers de Talca
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Cobreloa win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Rangers de Talca 0–0 Cobreloa
- 47′SECOND HALF Rangers de Talca 0–0 Cobreloa
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Cobreloa win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–46–29
- 58′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 25–48–27
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Cobreloa · On: L. Cornejo · Off: R. Gonzalez
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Cobreloa · On: C. Insaurralde · Off: J. Gatica
- 64′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 22–53–24
- 72′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Cobreloa win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Rangers de Talca
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Rangers de Talca · On: J. E. Mendez Gonzalez · Off: A. Rodriguez
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Rangers de Talca · On: M. Vicuna · Off: D. Gonzalez
- 79′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–74–14
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Cobreloa win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 84′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–84–8
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cobreloa · On: M. Sandoval · Off: A. Delgado
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Cobreloa · On: J. Duma · Off: F. Velazco
- 90′We said Cobreloa at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Cobreloa
- 94′Cobreloa score on 90′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- 94′We published Cobreloa at 39%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Rangers de Talca 0–1 Cobreloa
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Cobreloa win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
- 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Cobreloa win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 96%)
- 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Rangers de Talca
- FTFULL TIME Rangers de Talca 0–1 Cobreloa
- FTRangers de Talca 0–1 Cobreloa · Cobreloa win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cobreloa are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Rangers de Talca 34%, draw 27%, Cobreloa 39%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Rangers de Talca win34%
Cobreloa win39%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 21:30
RoundMatchday 29
VenueEstadio Fiscal de Talca
Match timeline
All events
Rangers de TalcaMIN
CobreloaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rangers de Talca
Cobreloa
Last match: 16 Oct · the Chilean Primera B
Last match: 17 Oct · the Chilean Primera B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cobreloa a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca win | 34% | 45% | −11 |
| Draw | 27% | 24% | +3 |
| Cobreloa win | 39% | 31% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Rangers de Talca or draw | 61% | 69% | −8 |
| Rangers de Talca clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Cobreloa clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera B this season · since 4 Sept
RANGERS DE TALCA
COBRELOA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis | 28 | +14 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | +15 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 29 | +1 | 46 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 28 | +21 | 45 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 28 | −2 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 28 | +6 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | −2 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | +9 | 38 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | +5 | 36 |
| 12 | D. Puerto Montt | 28 | −9 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | −16 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | −14 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | −32 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | −18 | 21 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
San Luis
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
Antofagasta
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
Union Espanola
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Temuco
D. Puerto Montt
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union San Felipe