Curico Unido v Deportes Temuco prediction · Primera B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Curico UnidoDrawDeportes Temuco

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 00:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Curico Unido 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Curico Unido are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Curico Unido 38%, draw 29%, Deportes Temuco 33%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Curico Unido v Deportes TemucoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Curico Unido win38%

Draw29%

Deportes Temuco win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 00:15

RoundMatchday 30

VenueEstadio Bicentenario La Granja

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Curico Unido

Deportes Temuco

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · the Chilean Primera B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Deportes Temuco	28	+5	36
13	Curico Unido	28	−16	31

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · curico unido winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Curico Unido a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Curico Unido v Deportes Temuco~~1.29 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Primera B this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 31 v 36~~13 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Curico Unido win	38%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Deportes Temuco win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Curico Unido or draw	67%	–	–
Curico Unido clean sheet	31%	–	–
Deportes Temuco clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%

0123450 9.4 9.1 5.8 2.3 1 10.2 13.6 7.5 2.9 2 7.1 8.3 4.8 3 3.1 3.6 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Curico Unido down, Deportes Temuco across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,512 Primera B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera B matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.0% of games this season, across 230 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Curico Unido at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Deportes Temuco away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Curico Unido, 1.17 for Deportes Temuco. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~DEP 0–1 CUR · CUR 1–1 DEP · DEP 0–0 CUR · DEP 1–1 CUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera B this season · since 4 Sept

CURICO UNIDO

LWLLWD0–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2

DEPORTES TEMUCO

LWDLWD0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cobreloa	29	+22	54
2	San Luis	29	+14	54
3	Santiago Wanderers	29	+16	50
4	Magallanes	29	+1	46
5	Antofagasta	28	+21	45
6	Recoleta	29	−2	42
7	Deportes Copiapo	29	+1	41
8	San Marcos de Arica	28	+6	40
9	Union Espanola	29	−3	39
10	Deportes Iquique	29	+9	38
11	D. Puerto Montt	29	−7	38
12	Deportes Temuco	28	+5	36
13	Curico Unido	28	−16	31
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	29	−14	24
15	Union San Felipe	29	−34	23
16	Rangers de Talca	29	−19	21