Curico Unido v Deportes Iquique

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportes Iquique win at 36%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Deportes Iquique 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 35–29–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Curico Unido v Deportes Iquique
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Curico Unido
5. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Deportes Iquique win 32%)
6. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Curico Unido
7. 44′We said Deportes Iquique at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–0 · 70–22–8
8. 44′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 70–22–8
9. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Curico Unido 1–0 Deportes Iquique
10. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 8% now
11. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Curico Unido win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
12. 45′Curico Unido find the net on 44′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–22–8
13. 45′SECOND HALF Curico Unido 1–1 Deportes Iquique
14. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Curico Unido 1–1 Deportes Iquique
15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 29% now
16. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Curico Unido win 28%)
17. 47′A goal for Deportes Iquique on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–43–29
18. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Deportes Iquique
19. 49′HALF-TIME Curico Unido 1–1 Deportes Iquique
20. 53′We said Deportes Iquique at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–2 · 6–20–74
21. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Curico Unido 1–2 Deportes Iquique
22. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 74% now
23. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Deportes Iquique win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
24. 54′Deportes Iquique score on 53′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–20–74
25. 54′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 6–20–74
26. 55′We said Deportes Iquique at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
27. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Curico Unido
28. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
29. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Curico Unido · On: J. Retamales · Off: H. Ibarra
30. 66′We said Deportes Iquique at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 2–2 · 21–58–21
31. 66′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 21–58–21
32. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Curico Unido 2–2 Deportes Iquique
33. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 21% now
34. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Deportes Iquique win 21%)
35. 67′Curico Unido find the net on 67′. 2–2. 2–2 · 20–59–21
36. 69′We said Deportes Iquique at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–62–19
37. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Curico Unido
38. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Deportes Iquique
39. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
40. 77′We said Deportes Iquique at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–14
41. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Deportes Iquique · On: C. Gonzalez · Off: A. Ramos
42. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Curico Unido · On: R. Guzman · Off: W. Saez
43. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Deportes Iquique · On: J. Pereyra · Off: A. Venezia
44. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Deportes Iquique · On: T. Jones · Off: B. Garrido
45. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Deportes Iquique · On: I. Diaz · Off: B. Barrera
46. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Deportes Iquique win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
47. 89′We said Deportes Iquique at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–91–4
48. 97′2–2 at the end. Our 36% on Deportes Iquique misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
49. FTFULL TIME Curico Unido 2–2 Deportes Iquique
50. FTCurico Unido 2–2 Deportes Iquique · Deportes Iquique win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.