Coquimbo Unido v O'Higgins prediction · Copa De La Liga

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Coquimbo Unido are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Coquimbo Unido 56%, draw 21%, O'Higgins 23%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Coquimbo Unido v O'HigginsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Coquimbo Unido win56%

Draw21%

O'Higgins win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 00:30

RoundFinal

VenueEstadio Elías Figueroa Brander

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Coquimbo Unido

O'Higgins

5Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · the Chilean Primera División

Last match: 10 Oct · the Chilean Primera División

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · coquimbo unido winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:57 · postponed, not graded

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Coquimbo Unido a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Coquimbo Unido v O'Higgins~~1.73 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Copa De La Liga this season · since 29 Mar~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D1 L1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Coquimbo Unido win

Published at 54%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Coquimbo Unido win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
O'Higgins win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Coquimbo Unido or draw	77%	–	–
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet	38%	–	–
O'Higgins clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%

0123450 5.6 7.8 3.2 1 12.8 10.0 5.5 2 9.9 9.6 4.7 3 5.7 5.5 2.7 4 2.5 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Coquimbo Unido down, O'Higgins across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,420 Primera División matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.3% of games this season, across 188 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.78 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Coquimbo Unido at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). O'Higgins away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Coquimbo Unido, 0.98 for O'Higgins. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.78

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~COQ 0–0 OHI · OHI 0–1 COQ · COQ 2–0 OHI · OHI 1–1 COQ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Copa De La Liga this season · since 29 Mar

COQUIMBO UNIDO

WDWWWL2–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

O'HIGGINS

WDWWLW3–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

Coquimbo Unido v O'Higgins

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Coquimbo Unido

O'Higgins

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in Copa De La Liga this season · since 29 Mar