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Universidad de Chile v Antofagasta
Universidad de ChileAntofagastaCopa Chile · WED 21 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Universidad de Chile are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 22%, Antofagasta 15%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · postponed, not graded
Universidad de Chile win63%Antofagasta win15%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 23:00
RoundQuarter-finals
Match timeline
All events
Universidad de ChileMINAntofagastaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Universidad de Chile
Antofagasta
Last match: 12 Oct · the Chilean Primera División
Last match: 18 Oct · the Chilean Primera B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Universidad de Chile a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile win | 63% | 69% | −6 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Antofagasta win | 15% | 12% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 61% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 82% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 42% | −10 |
| Universidad de Chile or draw | 85% | 88% | −3 |
| Universidad de Chile clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Antofagasta clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Copa Chile this season · since 28 June
UNIVERSIDAD DE CHILE
ANTOFAGASTA