Les Astres v Kumba prediction · Elite Two

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15

Les Astres 2–0 Kumba LES ASTRES WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Les Astres win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.357

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Les Astres are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Les Astres 51%, draw 23%, Kumba 25%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Les Astres v KumbaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Les Astres win51%

Draw23%

Kumba win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Les Astres

Kumba

126Days since last match126

Last match: 20 June · Elite Two

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Les Astres	0	0	0
4	Kumba	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · les astres winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Les Astres a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Les Astres v Kumba~~1.73 – 1.13

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Les Astres win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Kumba win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Les Astres or draw	75%	–	–
Les Astres clean sheet	33%	–	–
Kumba clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.1 6.8 3.8 1 10.1 10.8 6.1 2.4 2 8.5 9.2 5.2 3 4.9 5.3 3.0 4 2.2 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Les Astres down, Kumba across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 803 Elite Two matches up to 21 Jun 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite Two matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Les Astres at home: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Kumba away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Les Astres, 1.13 for Kumba. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KUM 2–5 LES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite Two this season

LES ASTRES

No matches in our record yet.

KUMBA

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tonnerre	0	0	0
2	Sable	0	0	0
3	Les Astres	0	0	0
4	Kumba	0	0	0
5	Elecsport	0	0	0
6	Mintack	0	0	0
7	Jeunes Fauves	0	0	0
8	Bamboutos	0	0	0
9	Avion Academy	0	0	0
10	Atlantic	0	0	0
11	FAP	0	0	0
12	Fortuna Mfou	0	0	0