Les Astres v Avion Academy prediction · Elite Two

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Les AstresDrawAvion Academy

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Les Astres 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Les Astres are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Les Astres 45%, draw 25%, Avion Academy 30%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Les Astres v Avion AcademyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Les Astres win45%

Draw25%

Avion Academy win30%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Les Astres

Avion Academy

7Days since last match133

Last match: 24 Oct · Elite Two

Last match: 20 June · Elite Two

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Les Astres	1	+2	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · les astres winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Les Astres a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Les Astres v Avion Academy~~1.51 – 1.16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Les Astres win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Avion Academy win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Les Astres or draw	70%	–	–
Les Astres clean sheet	32%	–	–
Avion Academy clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.4 8.3 4.8 1 10.6 11.7 6.8 2.7 2 7.8 8.7 5.0 3 4.0 4.4 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Les Astres down, Avion Academy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 807 Elite Two matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite Two matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Les Astres at home: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Avion Academy away: 0.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Les Astres, 1.16 for Avion Academy. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.