Stade Renard v Panthère prediction · Elite One

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Stade RenardDrawPanthère

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Stade Renard 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stade Renard are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stade Renard 39%, draw 27%, Panthère 34%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Stade Renard v PanthèreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Stade Renard win39%

Draw27%

Panthère win34%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stade Renard

Panthère

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Elite One

Last match: 18 Oct · Elite One

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Panthère	1	+1	3
6	Stade Renard	1	0	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade renard winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Stade Renard a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stade Renard v Panthère~~1.25 – 1.15

~~Form · Elite One this season · since 17 Oct~~W0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~6 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stade Renard win	39%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Panthère win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Stade Renard or draw	66%	–	–
Stade Renard clean sheet	32%	–	–
Panthère clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.4 10.5 6.0 2.4 1 11.4 12.7 7.2 2.9 2 7.1 7.9 4.5 3 3.0 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stade Renard down, Panthère across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,397 Elite One matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite One matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.83 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stade Renard at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Panthère away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Stade Renard, 1.15 for Panthère. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~PAN 4–2 STA · STA 1–1 PAN · PAN 1–0 STA · STA 0–1 PAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite One this season · since 17 Oct

STADE RENARD

D2–2

PANTHÈRE

W3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Canon	2	+1	4
2	Panthère	1	+1	3
3	Victoria United	1	+1	3
4	Dynamo de Douala	1	0	1
5	Aigle Royal	1	0	1
6	Stade Renard	1	0	1
7	Union Abong-Mbang	1	0	1
8	Unisport Bafang	1	0	1
9	APEJES Academy	1	0	1
10	Gazelle	1	0	1
11	Colombe	0	0	0
12	PWD Bamenda	1	−1	0
13	Cotonsport	1	−1	0
14	Aigle Royal de Moungo	1	−1	0