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Model 1.2

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Panthère v PWD Bamenda

Panthère
3–2Full time
PWD Bamenda

Elite One · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Panthère 3–2 PWD Bamenda PANTHÈRE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Panthère win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.387

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Panthère win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Panthère 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Panthère v PWD Bamenda
  4. 4′A goal for Panthère on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–9
  5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Panthère 1–0 PWD Bamenda
  6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
  7. 5′GOAL DISALLOWED · 5' Panthère
  8. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 48% now
  9. 21′A goal for PWD Bamenda on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–25–55
  10. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Panthère 0–1 PWD Bamenda
  11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 20% now
  12. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' PWD Bamenda win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Panthère win 20%)
  13. 22′We said Panthère at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–25–55
  14. 23′We said Panthère at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–55
  15. 23′Panthère score on 23′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 45–31–24
  16. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
  17. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Panthère 1–1 PWD Bamenda
  18. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 45% now
  19. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Panthère win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was PWD Bamenda win 24%)
  20. 39′PWD Bamenda find the net on 39′. 1–2. 1–2 · 14–26–60
  21. 39′We said Panthère at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–26–60
  22. 39′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 14–26–60
  23. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Panthère 1–2 PWD Bamenda
  24. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 14% now
  25. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' PWD Bamenda win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Panthère win 14%)
  26. 45′HALF-TIME Panthère 1–2 PWD Bamenda
  27. 46′SECOND HALF Panthère 1–2 PWD Bamenda
  28. 54′We said Panthère at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–66
  29. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Panthère win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
  30. 69′We said Panthère at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
  31. 85′A goal for Panthère on 83′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 8–86–6
  32. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–86–6
  33. 85′⚽ GOAL · 83' Panthère 2–2 PWD Bamenda
  34. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was PWD Bamenda win 6%)
  35. FTFULL TIME Panthère 3–2 PWD Bamenda
  36. FTPanthère 3–2 PWD Bamenda · Panthère win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Panthère are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Panthère 49%, draw 25%, PWD Bamenda 25%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Panthère v PWD BamendaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Panthère win49%
Draw25%
PWD Bamenda win25%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Panthère

PWD Bamenda

36Days since last match112

Last match: 12 Sept · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 28 June · Elite One

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Panthère000
8PWD Bamenda000

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · panthère winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Panthère a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Panthère v PWD Bamenda1.54 – 1.02
Table places · points 0 v 05 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Panthère win49%––
Draw25%––
PWD Bamenda win25%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Panthère or draw75%––
Panthère clean sheet37%––
PWD Bamenda clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 8.0 8.1 4.1 1 12.1 11.8 6.0 2.1 2 9.1 9.0 4.6 3 4.7 4.7 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Panthère down, PWD Bamenda across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsPAN 1–2 PWD · PWD 2–0 PAN · PWD 2–2 PAN · PAN 0–1 PWD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite One this season

PANTHÈRE

No matches in our record yet.

PWD BAMENDA

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Stade Renard101
2Union Abong-Mbang101
3Canon000
4Cotonsport000
5Panthère000
6Dynamo de Douala000
7Unisport Bafang000
8PWD Bamenda000
9Aigle Royal000
10APEJES Academy000
11Colombe000
12Victoria United000
13Gazelle000
14Aigle Royal de Moungo000

The competition's standings before kick-off.