Gazelle v Colombe prediction · Elite One

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GazelleDrawColombe

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Colombe 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Colombe are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gazelle 25%, draw 29%, Colombe 46%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Gazelle v ColombeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Gazelle win25%

Draw29%

Colombe win46%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gazelle

Colombe

112Days since last match35

Last match: 28 June · Elite One

Last match: 13 Sept · CAF Champions League

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Colombe	0	0	0
13	Gazelle	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · colombe winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Colombe a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gazelle v Colombe~~0.82 – 1.26

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gazelle win	25%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Colombe win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Gazelle or draw	54%	–	–
Gazelle clean sheet	29%	–	–
Colombe clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.7%

0123450 12.8 15.7 9.7 4.2 1 10.5 12.4 7.8 3.3 2 4.4 5.2 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gazelle down, Colombe across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,391 Elite One matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite One matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 1.71 goals a meeting; 2 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gazelle at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Colombe away: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.82 goals for Gazelle, 1.26 for Colombe. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.71

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~COL 3–0 GAZ · GAZ 2–1 COL · COL 1–1 GAZ · GAZ 0–0 COL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite One this season

GAZELLE

No matches in our record yet.

COLOMBE

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	PTS
1	Stade Renard	1	1
2	Union Abong-Mbang	1	1
3	Canon	0	0
4	Cotonsport	0	0
5	Panthère	0	0
6	Dynamo de Douala	0	0
7	Unisport Bafang	0	0
8	PWD Bamenda	0	0
9	Aigle Royal	0	0
10	APEJES Academy	0	0
11	Colombe	0	0
12	Victoria United	0	0
13	Gazelle	0	0
14	Aigle Royal de Moungo	0	0