Dynamo de Douala v Aigle Royal

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dynamo de Douala win at 59%.
2. 1′A goal for Dynamo de Douala on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–6
3. 1′We published Dynamo de Douala at 59%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–6
4. 1′KICK-OFF Dynamo de Douala v Aigle Royal
5. 2′A goal for Dynamo de Douala on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–13–6
6. 27′Aigle Royal score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 52–29–19
7. 27′Much as we predicted: Dynamo de Douala was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 1–1 · 52–29–19
8. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Dynamo de Douala 1–1 Aigle Royal
9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Dynamo de Douala win: 59% at kick-off, 52% now
10. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Dynamo de Douala win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
11. 41′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–35–18
12. 45′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 17–28–55
13. 45′HALF-TIME Dynamo de Douala 1–2 Aigle Royal
14. 46′SECOND HALF Dynamo de Douala 1–2 Aigle Royal
15. 47′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–38–18 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
16. 50′Aigle Royal find the net on 45′. 1–2. 1–2 · 15–28–57
17. 50′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–2 · 15–28–57
18. 50′⚽ GOAL · 45+5' Dynamo de Douala 1–2 Aigle Royal
19. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Dynamo de Douala win: 59% at kick-off, 15% now
20. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+5' Aigle Royal win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Dynamo de Douala win 15%)
21. 52′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–28–58
22. 62′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–26–65
23. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Dynamo de Douala win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
24. 67′A goal for Aigle Royal on 66′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 1–6–93
25. 67′We said Dynamo de Douala at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–6–93
26. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Dynamo de Douala 1–3 Aigle Royal
27. 69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Aigle Royal
28. 86′A goal for Dynamo de Douala on 86′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 9–86–5
29. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Dynamo de Douala 2–2 Aigle Royal
30. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Aigle Royal win 5%)
31. 87′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 9–87–4
32. FTFULL TIME Dynamo de Douala 2–2 Aigle Royal
33. FTDynamo de Douala 2–2 Aigle Royal · Dynamo de Douala win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.