Cotonsport v Colombe prediction · Elite One

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CotonsportDrawColombe

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Colombe 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Colombe are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cotonsport 31%, draw 30%, Colombe 38%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Cotonsport v ColombeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Cotonsport win31%

Draw30%

Colombe win38%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 2

VenueStade Roumde Adjia

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cotonsport

Colombe

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Elite One

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Colombe	0	0	0
13	Cotonsport	1	−1	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · colombe winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Colombe a 38% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cotonsport v Colombe~~0.94 – 1.09

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cotonsport win	31%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Colombe win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Cotonsport or draw	62%	–	–
Cotonsport clean sheet	34%	–	–
Colombe clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.2%

0123450 13.5 14.2 7.7 2.9 1 12.5 13.1 7.0 2.6 2 5.9 6.2 3.3 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cotonsport down, Colombe across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,399 Elite One matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite One matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 1.22 goals a meeting; 1 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cotonsport at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Colombe away: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.94 goals for Cotonsport, 1.09 for Colombe. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~1.22

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 9

~~Both scored~~2 of 9

~~Last meetings~~COL 1–0 COT · COT 0–0 COL · COL 2–0 COT · COT 0–0 COL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite One this season · since 18 Oct

COTONSPORT

L1–2

COLOMBE

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Canon	2	+1	4
2	Panthère	1	+1	3
3	Victoria United	1	+1	3
4	Dynamo de Douala	1	0	1
5	Aigle Royal	1	0	1
6	Stade Renard	1	0	1
7	Union Abong-Mbang	1	0	1
8	Unisport Bafang	1	0	1
9	APEJES Academy	1	0	1
10	Gazelle	1	0	1
11	Colombe	0	0	0
12	PWD Bamenda	1	−1	0
13	Cotonsport	1	−1	0
14	Aigle Royal de Moungo	1	−1	0