Cotonsport v Canon prediction · Elite One

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 19:02

Cotonsport 1–2 Canon COTONSPORT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cotonsport win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.827

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cotonsport are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cotonsport 44%, draw 30%, Canon 26%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Cotonsport v CanonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Cotonsport win44%

Draw30%

Canon win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 1

VenueStade Roumde Adjia

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cotonsport

Canon

112Days since last match112

Last match: 28 June · Elite One

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Canon	0	0	0
4	Cotonsport	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cotonsport winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Cotonsport a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cotonsport v Canon~~1.19 – 0.84

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~4 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cotonsport win	44%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Canon win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Cotonsport or draw	74%	–	–
Cotonsport clean sheet	44%	–	–
Canon clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.7%

0123450 13.4 11.2 4.7 1 15.7 12.7 5.4 2 9.2 7.6 3.2 3 3.7 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cotonsport down, Canon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,391 Elite One matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elite One matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cotonsport at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Canon away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Cotonsport, 0.84 for Canon. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~COT 2–2 CAN · CAN 1–1 COT · COT 2–1 CAN · CAN 1–1 COT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Elite One this season

COTONSPORT

No matches in our record yet.

CANON

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	PTS
1	Stade Renard	1	1
2	Union Abong-Mbang	1	1
3	Canon	0	0
4	Cotonsport	0	0
5	Panthère	0	0
6	Dynamo de Douala	0	0
7	Unisport Bafang	0	0
8	PWD Bamenda	0	0
9	Aigle Royal	0	0
10	APEJES Academy	0	0
11	Colombe	0	0
12	Victoria United	0	0
13	Gazelle	0	0
14	Aigle Royal de Moungo	0	0