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Svay Rieng v Visakha

Svay Rieng
2–2Full time
Visakha

C-League · SAT 24 OCT · Svay Rieng Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Svay Rieng 2–2 Visakha SVAY RIENG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Svay Rieng win50%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.933
The market’s Brier score0.900

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Svay Rieng win at 50%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Svay Rieng was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Svay Rieng v Visakha
  4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Svay Rieng
  5. 19′Svay Rieng score on 19′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–17–11
  6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Svay Rieng 1–0 Visakha
  7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
  8. 20′We published Svay Rieng at 50%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–11
  9. 25′Visakha find the net on 24′. 1–1. 1–1 · 46–27–27
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Svay Rieng 1–1 Visakha
  11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 46% now
  12. 43′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 41–33–26
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Svay Rieng 1–1 Visakha
  14. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Svay Rieng 1–1 Visakha
  16. 51′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–37–25
  17. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Svay Rieng win 38%)
  18. 60′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
  19. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Visakha
  20. 64′A goal for Visakha on 64′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–24–68
  21. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Svay Rieng 1–2 Visakha
  22. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 8% now
  23. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Visakha win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 47%)
  24. 65′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–23–69
  25. 72′Svay Rieng score on 72′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 26–57–18
  26. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Svay Rieng 2–2 Visakha
  27. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 26% now
  28. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Visakha win 74%)
  29. 73′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–58–17
  30. 73′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 25–58–17
  31. 74′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–60–16
  32. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Visakha
  33. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Svay Rieng
  34. 78′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–67–14
  35. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
  36. 82′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
  37. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Svay Rieng win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
  38. 92′We said Svay Rieng at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
  39. FTFULL TIME Svay Rieng 2–2 Visakha
  40. FTSvay Rieng 2–2 Visakha · Svay Rieng win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Svay Rieng are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Svay Rieng 50%, draw 22%, Visakha 28%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Svay Rieng v VisakhaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Svay Rieng win50%
Draw22%
Visakha win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueSvay Rieng Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Svay Rieng

Visakha

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · C-League

Last match: 17 Oct · C-League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Visakha4+912
2Svay Rieng4+1010

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · svay rieng winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off
50% The market50%
Us50%
Market50%

We make Svay Rieng a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Svay Rieng v Visakha1.96 – 1.42
Form · C-League this season · since 6 SeptW3 D1 L0 · W4 D0 L0
Table places · points 10 v 122 v 1
The market · Svay Rieng win50% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:46
Our probability · Svay Rieng win The market, margin stripped

Published at 48%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Svay Rieng win50%50%0
Draw22%24%−2
Visakha win28%26%+2
Over 2.5 goals65%66%−1
Both teams to score64%65%−1
Over 1.5 goals85%83%+2
Over 3.5 goals44%45%−1
Svay Rieng or draw72%74%−2
Svay Rieng clean sheet25%––
Visakha clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 3.9 4.8 3.5 1 6.7 9.5 6.6 3.1 2 6.5 8.9 6.3 3.0 3 4.3 5.8 4.1 4 2.2 2.9 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Svay Rieng down, Visakha across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsSVA 3–3 VIS · SVA 1–2 VIS · VIS 0–2 SVA · VIS 0–3 SVA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · C-League this season · since 6 Sept

SVAY RIENG

WWDW3–0 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 4–1

VISAKHA

WWWW6–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Visakha4+912
2Svay Rieng4+1010
3NagaWorld4+310
4Dangkor Senchey3+65
5Angkor Tiger4+55
6Kompong Dewa4−14
7Phnom Penh Crown303
8Kirivong Sok Sen Chey4−93
9Life Sihanoukville3−31
10Boeung Ket3−41
11National Defense4−160

The competition's standings before kick-off.