Kirivong Sok Sen Chey v Life Sihanoukville prediction · C-League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kirivong Sok Sen CheyDrawLife Sihanoukville

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Kirivong Sok Sen Chey just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 38%, draw 26%, Life Sihanoukville 36%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Kirivong Sok Sen Chey v Life SihanoukvilleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win38%

Draw26%

Life Sihanoukville win36%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 08:45

RoundMatchday 5

VenueKirivong Sok Sen Chey Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey

Life Sihanoukville

8Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · C-League

Last match: 19 Oct · C-League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	4	−9	3
9	Life Sihanoukville	3	−3	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kirivong sok sen chey winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off

38% The market39%

Us38%

~~Market~~39%

We make Kirivong Sok Sen Chey a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey v Life Sihanoukville~~1.42 – 1.39

~~Form · C-League this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D0 L3 · W0 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~8 v 9

~~The market · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win~~39% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win The market, margin stripped

Published at 39%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win	38%	39%	−1
Draw	26%	25%	+1
Life Sihanoukville win	36%	36%	0
Over 2.5 goals	53%	59%	−6
Both teams to score	56%	62%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	76%	79%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	31%	38%	−7
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey or draw	64%	64%	0
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey clean sheet	26%	–	–
Life Sihanoukville clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.8 8.3 5.8 2.7 1 8.5 11.8 7.9 3.7 2 6.1 8.1 5.6 2.6 3 2.9 3.9 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kirivong Sok Sen Chey down, Life Sihanoukville across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 695 C-League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: C-League matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kirivong Sok Sen Chey at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Life Sihanoukville away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Kirivong Sok Sen Chey, 1.39 for Life Sihanoukville. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KIR 0–1 LIF · LIF 0–1 KIR · LIF 2–1 KIR · KIR 2–1 LIF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · C-League this season · since 6 Sept

KIRIVONG SOK SEN CHEY

LLWL0–3 · 0–6 · 2–1 · 2–3

LIFE SIHANOUKVILLE

LLD0–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Visakha	5	+9	13
2	Svay Rieng	5	+10	11
3	NagaWorld	4	+3	10
4	Phnom Penh Crown	4	+1	6
5	Dangkor Senchey	3	+6	5
6	Angkor Tiger	4	+5	5
7	Kompong Dewa	4	−1	4
8	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	4	−9	3
9	Life Sihanoukville	3	−3	1
10	Boeung Ket	3	−4	1
11	National Defense	5	−17	0