Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Ligue A › Panthere Noir v Musongati

Back
Burundi flag

Panthere Noir v Musongati

Panthere Noir
0–2Full time
Musongati

Ligue A · WED 14 OCT

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 21:30
Panthere Noir 0–2 Musongati MUSONGATI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Musongati win52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.352

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Panthere Noir v MusongatiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:53 · locked at kick-off

Panthere Noir win20%
Draw28%
Musongati win52%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Panthere Noir

Musongati

10Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Musongati6-27
16Panthere Noir4-31

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · musongati winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:53 · locked at kick-off
52% The market–
Us52%

We make Musongati a 52% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Panthere Noir v Musongati0.77 – 1.44
Last six in Ligue AW0 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 1 v 716 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1812 OCT 04:00
Our probability · musongati win

Published at 50%, 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Panthere Noir win20%––
Draw28%––
Musongati win52%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Panthere Noir or draw48%––
Panthere Noir clean sheet25%––
Musongati clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.9%
0123450 12.3 14.9 11.2 5.5 2.2 1 7.9 12.4 8.2 4.0 2 3.4 4.6 3.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Panthere Noir down, Musongati across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Ligue A since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Ligue A

PANTHERE NOIR

LDLL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

MUSONGATI

LDLLWW1–2 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Royal Vision61616
2Muzinga7514
3Aigle Noir6311
4Le Messager Ngozi5110
5Olympic Star619
6Ngozi City6-39
7Rukinzo488
8Vital'O5-38
9Bumamuru617
10Musongati6-27
11Flambeau du Centre5-15
12Kayanza United6-15
13Never Give Up Academy5-34
14Inter Star4-22
15Young Star7-172
16Panthere Noir4-31

The competition's standings.