Panthere Noir v Flambeau du Centre prediction · Ligue A

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Panthere NoirDrawFlambeau du Centre

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Flambeau du Centre 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Flambeau du Centre are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Panthere Noir 20%, draw 28%, Flambeau du Centre 52%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Panthere Noir v Flambeau du CentreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Panthere Noir win20%

Draw28%

Flambeau du Centre win52%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Panthere Noir

Flambeau du Centre

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Flambeau du Centre	7	−2	6
16	Panthere Noir	6	−7	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · flambeau du centre winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Flambeau du Centre a 52% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Panthere Noir v Flambeau du Centre~~0.78 – 1.45

~~Form · last six in Ligue A this season · since 14 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 1 v 6~~16 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Panthere Noir win	20%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Flambeau du Centre win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Panthere Noir or draw	48%	–	–
Panthere Noir clean sheet	24%	–	–
Flambeau du Centre clean sheet	46%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.7%

0123450 11.9 14.7 11.1 5.5 2.1 1 7.8 12.5 8.4 4.1 2 3.4 4.7 3.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Panthere Noir down, Flambeau du Centre across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,259 Ligue A matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue A matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.4% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Panthere Noir at home: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Flambeau du Centre away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.78 goals for Panthere Noir, 1.45 for Flambeau du Centre. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligue A this season · since 14 Aug

PANTHERE NOIR

LDLLLL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2

FLAMBEAU DU CENTRE

DLWLDL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Vision	9	+19	21
2	Muzinga	9	+6	18
3	Rukinzo	6	+11	14
4	Le Messager Ngozi	6	+2	13
5	Olympic Star	7	+3	12
6	Aigle Noir	8	+2	12
7	Ngozi City	8	−2	12
8	Bumamuru	8	+1	10
9	Musongati	8	−1	10
10	Vital'O	7	−5	9
11	Inter Star	6	−1	6
12	Flambeau du Centre	7	−2	6
13	Never Give Up Academy	7	−5	5
14	Kayanza United	8	−6	5
15	Young Star	8	−15	5
16	Panthere Noir	6	−7	1