Inter Star v Olympic Star prediction · Ligue A

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Inter StarDrawOlympic Star

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Olympic Star 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Olympic Star just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Star 33%, draw 30%, Olympic Star 37%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Inter Star v Olympic StarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Inter Star win33%

Draw30%

Olympic Star win37%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Star

Olympic Star

6Days since last match11

Last match: 23 Oct · Ligue A

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Olympic Star	7	+3	12
11	Inter Star	6	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympic star winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Olympic Star a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Star v Olympic Star~~1.12 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in Ligue A this season · since 16 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 12~~11 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Olympic Star win

Published at 38%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Star win	33%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Olympic Star win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Inter Star or draw	63%	–	–
Inter Star clean sheet	31%	–	–
Olympic Star clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 11.2 11.1 7.1 2.9 1 10.3 13.5 7.6 3.1 2 6.2 7.1 4.2 3 2.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Star down, Olympic Star across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,259 Ligue A matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue A matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.4% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.12 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Star at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Olympic Star away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Inter Star, 1.20 for Olympic Star. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.12

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~INT 1–2 OLY · OLY 1–0 INT · OLY 1–0 INT · INT 2–1 OLY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligue A this season · since 16 Aug

INTER STAR

DLLDWD1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

OLYMPIC STAR

DDWDWW0–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Vision	9	+19	21
2	Muzinga	9	+6	18
3	Le Messager Ngozi	6	+2	13
4	Aigle Noir	7	+3	12
5	Olympic Star	7	+3	12
6	Ngozi City	8	−2	12
7	Rukinzo	5	+10	11
8	Bumamuru	8	+1	10
9	Musongati	8	−1	10
10	Vital'O	7	−5	9
11	Inter Star	6	−1	6
12	Flambeau du Centre	7	−2	6
13	Never Give Up Academy	7	−5	5
14	Kayanza United	8	−6	5
15	Young Star	8	−15	5
16	Panthere Noir	6	−7	1