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Flambeau du Centre v Muzinga

Flambeau du Centre

1–2Full time

Muzinga

Ligue A · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06

Flambeau du Centre 1–2 Muzinga FLAMBEAU DU CENTRE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Flambeau du Centre win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.036

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Flambeau du Centre win54%

Draw27%

Muzinga win18%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · flambeau du centre winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Flambeau du Centre a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Flambeau du Centre win	54%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Muzinga win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Flambeau du Centre or draw	82%	–	–
Flambeau du Centre clean sheet	47%	–	–
Muzinga clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%

0123450 11.6 7.2 3.0 1 14.9 12.1 4.4 2 11.6 8.5 3.3 3 6.0 4.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Flambeau du Centre down, Muzinga across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,238 Ligue A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue A matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.7% of games this season, across 38 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Flambeau du Centre at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Muzinga away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Flambeau du Centre, 0.76 for Muzinga. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FLA 1–1 MUZ · MUZ 1–1 FLA

Form · last six in Ligue A

FLAMBEAU DU CENTRE

WDDDLW5–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

MUZINGA

WWLWWD4–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Vision	5	+11	13
2	Muzinga	5	+4	10
3	Aigle Noir	5	+3	10
4	Le Messager Ngozi	4	+3	10
5	Ngozi City	5	+2	9
6	Rukinzo	4	+8	8
7	Vital'O	5	−3	8
8	Bumamuru	6	+1	7
9	Olympic Star	5	0	6
10	Flambeau du Centre	4	0	5
11	Kayanza United	5	−1	4
12	Never Give Up Academy	4	−2	4
13	Musongati	5	−4	4
14	Inter Star	4	−2	2
15	Panthere Noir	4	−3	1
16	Young Star	6	−17	1