Vitesse v Comoé prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Vitesse 0–0 Comoé VITESSE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vitesse win~~45%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.739

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.771

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vitesse win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Vitesse 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–30–25
1′KICK-OFF Vitesse v Comoé
6′Little has changed for our model: Vitesse 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–31–24
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vitesse win: 45% at kick-off, 34% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Vitesse win 34%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vitesse win: 45% at kick-off, 40% now
45′HALF-TIME Vitesse 0–0 Comoé
46′SECOND HALF Vitesse 0–0 Comoé
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Vitesse win: 45% at kick-off, 34% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Vitesse win 34%)
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Vitesse win: 45% at kick-off, 34% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Vitesse win 34%)
FTFULL TIME Vitesse 0–0 Comoé
FTVitesse 0–0 Comoé · Vitesse win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Vitesse win45%

Draw31%

Comoé win24%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:30

VenueStade Wobi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Vitesse

Comoé

8Days since last match6

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Vitesse	3	+3	7
14	Comoé	3	−2	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vitesse winPublished 11 Oct 16:29

45% The market50%

Us45%

~~Market~~50%

We make Vitesse a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · vitesse win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vitesse win	45%	50%	−5
Draw	31%	30%	0
Comoé win	24%	20%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	33%	34%	−1
Both teams to score	39%	39%	0
Over 1.5 goals	60%	59%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	15%	16%	−1
Vitesse or draw	76%	80%	−4
Vitesse clean sheet	45%	–	–
Comoé clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 14.0 10.1 4.4 1 15.4 13.3 5.2 2 9.7 7.7 3.1 3 4.0 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vitesse down, Comoé across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,533 Ligue 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 28.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vitesse at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Comoé away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Vitesse, 0.81 for Comoé. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VIT 2–1 COM · COM 0–7 VIT

Form · last six in Ligue 1

VITESSE

WLDDWW3–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 3–1

COMOÉ

WLLLWL4–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	USFA	3	+6	9
2	Rahimo	4	+4	9
3	FocuSport	4	0	9
4	Vitesse	3	+3	7
5	SONABEL	4	+3	6
6	ASFA-Yennenga	3	+2	6
7	Majestic	4	−1	6
8	Réal du Faso	3	+1	4
9	Maya	3	0	4
10	CFFEB	4	−1	4
11	ASFB	4	−2	4
12	Sporting Cascades	4	−3	4
13	Douanes	3	−1	3
14	Comoé	3	−2	3
15	RCK	3	−3	1
16	Salitas	4	−6	1