Réal du Faso v Majestic prediction · Ligue 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Réal du FasoDrawMajestic

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 34%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Réal du Faso 33%, draw 34%, Majestic 32%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Réal du Faso v MajesticBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

Réal du Faso win33%

Draw34%

Majestic win32%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueStade Wobi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Réal du Faso

Majestic

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Réal du Faso	5	+1	7
11	Majestic	5	−2	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

34% The market–

Us34%

We make the draw a 34% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Réal du Faso v Majestic~~0.88 – 0.86

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Réal du Faso win	33%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Majestic win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	52%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Réal du Faso or draw	68%	–	–
Réal du Faso clean sheet	42%	–	–
Majestic clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.1%

0123450 18.1 14.7 6.5 1 15.0 13.4 5.6 2 6.8 5.8 2.5 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Réal du Faso down, Majestic across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,550 Ligue 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.4% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Réal du Faso at home: 0.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Majestic away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for Réal du Faso, 0.86 for Majestic. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~REA 0–0 MAJ · MAJ 1–0 REA · REA 0–0 MAJ · MAJ 2–1 REA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 18 Sept

RÉAL DU FASO

LDWLW1–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

MAJESTIC

WLLWL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rahimo	6	+7	15
2	USFA	6	+7	15
3	FocuSport	6	0	12
4	Vitesse	5	+4	11
5	ASFA-Yennenga	6	+2	10
6	Douanes	5	+3	9
7	CFFEB	6	+4	8
8	Réal du Faso	5	+1	7
9	ASFB	5	0	7
10	Sporting Cascades	6	−2	7
11	Majestic	5	−2	6
12	SONABEL	6	+1	6
13	RCK	5	−7	4
14	Maya	6	−5	4
15	Comoé	6	−5	4
16	Salitas	6	−8	4