Maya v FocuSport
MayaFocuSportLigue 1 · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Maya win at 36%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Maya was 36% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 36–31–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Maya v FocuSport
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Maya win 33%)
- 42′Maya score on 41′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–6
- 42′We published Maya at 36%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–6
- 42′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 73–20–6
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Maya 1–0 FocuSport
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Maya win: 36% at kick-off, 73% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Maya win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Maya 1–0 FocuSport
- 46′SECOND HALF Maya 1–0 FocuSport
- 47′We published Maya at 36%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 48′39′: A. Traore on the scoresheet for Maya, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–20–5
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Maya win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
- 61′We published Maya at 36%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 63′FocuSport find the net on 63′. 1–1. 1–1 · 21–59–20
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Maya 1–1 FocuSport
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Maya win: 36% at kick-off, 21% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Maya win 21%)
- 64′We said Maya at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–60–19
- 67′We said Maya at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–18
- 69′FocuSport level it on 56′ through D. M. Goho. 1–1. 1–1 · 18–65–17
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Maya win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
- 75′We said Maya at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–13
- 77′A goal for FocuSport on 77′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–87
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Maya 1–2 FocuSport
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Maya win: 36% at kick-off, 1% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' FocuSport win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
- 79′We said Maya at 36%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–10–89
- 79′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 1–10–89
- FTFULL TIME Maya 1–2 FocuSport
- FTMaya 1–2 FocuSport · Maya win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Maya just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Maya 36%, draw 31%, FocuSport 32%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 12:26 · locked at kick-off
Maya win36%FocuSport win32%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:30
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
MayaMINFocuSportEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Maya
FocuSport
Last match: 12 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)
Last match: 10 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FocuSport | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Maya | 4 | −1 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Maya a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maya win | 36% | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – |
| FocuSport win | 32% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | – | – |
| Maya or draw | 68% | – | – |
| Maya clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| FocuSport clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 19 Sept
MAYA
FOCUSPORT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rahimo | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 |  USFA | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |  ASFA-Yennenga | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | FocuSport | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Vitesse | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 |  ASFB | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  SONABEL | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Douanes | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Majestic | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 10 | Maya | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 11 |  RCK | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sporting Cascades | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 13 |  Réal du Faso | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 |  CFFEB | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Comoé | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Salitas | 4 | −6 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.